← flyweight

Alexandre Pantoja "The Cannibal"

Active #1 flyweight · age 36 · Orthodox · 5'5" 165 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
At a glance
  • 4 successful title defenses
  • 57% of wins by KO or submission
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • Career-best 8-fight win streak
Elo rating
1646
Global Elo 1682 ±28
Rank
#1
top 1% of division
UFC record
14-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 6 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -13
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 35m
Avg fight time
11:56
Title fights
5-1
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
2.0
Ground control
1h 9m
Since last fight
7mo

Honest Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Jan 28, 2017 — W vs Eric Shelton Δ+29Jul 16, 2017 — W vs Neil Seery Δ+33Jan 20, 2018 — L vs Dustin Ortiz Δ-31May 19, 2018 — W vs Brandon Moreno Δ+32Nov 17, 2018 — W vs Yuta Sasaki Δ+27Apr 13, 2019 — W vs Wilson Reis Δ+16Jul 27, 2019 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-16Dec 21, 2019 — W vs Matt Schnell Δ+17Jul 18, 2020 — L vs Askar Askarov Δ-19Feb 6, 2021 — W vs Manel Kape Δ+12Aug 21, 2021 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+15Jul 30, 2022 — W vs Alex Perez Δ+17Jul 8, 2023 — W vs Brandon Moreno Δ+21Dec 16, 2023 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+16May 4, 2024 — W vs Steve Erceg Δ+16Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Kai Asakura Δ+12Jun 28, 2025 — W vs Kai Kara-France Δ+16Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Joshua Van Δ-29 145015001550160016501700 2019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":355.6,"elo":1493,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Eric Shelton","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":127.6,"y":314,"elo":1525,"date":"2017-07-16","opp":"Neil Seery","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":169.5,"y":353.3,"elo":1494,"date":"2018-01-20","opp":"Dustin Ortiz","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":196,"y":312.6,"elo":1526,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":236.5,"y":277.8,"elo":1553,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Yuta Sasaki","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":269.2,"y":257.2,"elo":1569,"date":"2019-04-13","opp":"Wilson Reis","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":292.6,"y":278.3,"elo":1553,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":325.3,"y":256.5,"elo":1570,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Matt Schnell","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":372.1,"y":281.5,"elo":1550,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Askar Askarov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":9,"x":417.3,"y":266,"elo":1563,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Manel Kape","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":10,"x":460.9,"y":246.8,"elo":1578,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":537.3,"y":224.5,"elo":1595,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Alex Perez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":613.6,"y":197.5,"elo":1616,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":13,"x":649.5,"y":177.6,"elo":1632,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":680.6,"y":157.6,"elo":1647,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Steve Erceg","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":15,"x":729,"y":142.4,"elo":1659,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Kai Asakura","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":16,"x":774.2,"y":122.1,"elo":1675,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Kai Kara-France","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":810,"y":159.1,"elo":1646,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Joshua Van","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Joshua Van L -29
Jun 28, 2025 Kai Kara-France W +16
Dec 7, 2024 Kai Asakura W +12
May 4, 2024 Steve Erceg W +16
Dec 16, 2023 Brandon Royval W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
57%
8 / 14
Finish rate
KO
2
14% of wins
SUB
6
43% of wins
DEC
6
43% of wins
KO: 2 (14%) 2 Sub: 6 (43%) 6 Dec: 6 (43%) 6
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
2 25%
R3
2 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 941 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 9%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
25%
of losses by finish
1 of 4
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 3 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1574
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Brandon Moreno
Elo 1650 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.3
+3.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 18 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1620
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Alexandre Pantoja on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.