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Alexandre Pantoja

Active #1 flyweight · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1682 ±31
LCB 1643
Rank
#1
top 1% of division
UFC record
14-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 6 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -13
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Jan 28, 2017 — W vs Eric Shelton Δ+29Jul 16, 2017 — W vs Neil Seery Δ+33Jan 20, 2018 — L vs Dustin Ortiz Δ-31May 19, 2018 — W vs Brandon Moreno Δ+32Nov 17, 2018 — W vs Yuta Sasaki Δ+27Apr 13, 2019 — W vs Wilson Reis Δ+16Jul 27, 2019 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-16Dec 21, 2019 — W vs Matt Schnell Δ+17Jul 18, 2020 — L vs Askar Askarov Δ-19Feb 6, 2021 — W vs Manel Kape Δ+12Aug 21, 2021 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+15Jul 30, 2022 — W vs Alex Perez Δ+17Jul 8, 2023 — W vs Brandon Moreno Δ+21Dec 16, 2023 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+16May 4, 2024 — W vs Steve Erceg Δ+16Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Kai Asakura Δ+12Jun 28, 2025 — W vs Kai Kara-France Δ+16Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Joshua Van Δ-29 14891554162016861751 2019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":203.7,"elo":1529,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Eric Shelton","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":68.5,"y":177.4,"elo":1561,"date":"2017-07-16","opp":"Neil Seery","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":118.1,"y":202.2,"elo":1531,"date":"2018-01-20","opp":"Dustin Ortiz","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":149.4,"y":176.5,"elo":1562,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":197.4,"y":154.6,"elo":1590,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Yuta Sasaki","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":236.1,"y":141.6,"elo":1606,"date":"2019-04-13","opp":"Wilson Reis","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":263.7,"y":154.9,"elo":1589,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":302.5,"y":141.1,"elo":1606,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Matt Schnell","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":357.8,"y":156.9,"elo":1587,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Askar Askarov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":9,"x":411.3,"y":147.1,"elo":1599,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Manel Kape","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":10,"x":462.9,"y":135,"elo":1614,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":553.3,"y":121,"elo":1631,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Alex Perez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":643.6,"y":103.9,"elo":1652,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":13,"x":686.1,"y":91.3,"elo":1668,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":722.9,"y":78.7,"elo":1684,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Steve Erceg","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":15,"x":780.1,"y":69.1,"elo":1695,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Kai Asakura","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":16,"x":833.6,"y":56.3,"elo":1711,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Kai Kara-France","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":79.7,"elo":1682,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Joshua Van","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Joshua Van L -29
Jun 28, 2025 Kai Kara-France W +16
Dec 7, 2024 Kai Asakura W +12
May 4, 2024 Steve Erceg W +16
Dec 16, 2023 Brandon Royval W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.92 avg 3.37
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.47 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.50 avg 1.52
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
69% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.88 avg 0.74
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
57%
8 / 14
Finish rate
KO
2
14% of wins
SUB
6
43% of wins
DEC
6
43% of wins
KO: 2 (14%) 2 Sub: 6 (43%) 6 Dec: 6 (43%) 6
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
2 25%
R3
2 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1574
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.3
actual +4 vs expected