HonestElo
← flyweight

Rogerio Bontorin

Inactive · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1481 ±40
LCB 1430
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Jan 15, 2022
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Feb 2, 2019 — W vs Magomed Bibulatov Δ+29Aug 10, 2019 — W vs Raulian Paiva Δ+24Feb 15, 2020 — L vs Ray Borg Δ-29Mar 6, 2021 — L vs Kai Kara-France Δ-31Jan 15, 2022 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-28 14251467150915511593 202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":105.3,"elo":1529,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Magomed Bibulatov","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":173.4,"y":74.6,"elo":1553,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Raulian Paiva","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":322.8,"y":111.1,"elo":1524,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Ray Borg","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":627,"y":150.2,"elo":1493,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Kai Kara-France","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":185.4,"elo":1465,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-28}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 15, 2022 Brandon Royval L -28
Mar 6, 2021 Kai Kara-France L -31
Feb 15, 2020 Ray Borg L -29
Aug 10, 2019 Raulian Paiva W +24
Feb 2, 2019 Magomed Bibulatov W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.65 avg 3.37
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.71 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.27 avg 1.57
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
60% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
48% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.09 avg 0.75
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1516
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.5
actual -1 vs expected