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Brandon Moreno "The Assassin Baby"

Active #9 flyweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 2 successful title defenses
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 55% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Elo rating
1540
Global Elo 1600 ±46
Rank
#9
top 19% of division
UFC record
11-7-2
KO 2 · Sub 3 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -39
Last fight
Feb 28, 2026
Loss by Decision · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 41m
Avg fight time
17:03
Title fights
3-2
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.1
Since last fight
4mo

Honest Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Oct 1, 2016 — W vs Louis Smolka Δ+44Dec 3, 2016 — W vs Ryan Benoit Δ+26Apr 22, 2017 — W vs Dustin Ortiz Δ+30Aug 5, 2017 — L vs Sergio Pettis Δ-32May 19, 2018 — L vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ-32Sep 21, 2019 — D vs Askar Askarov Δ-2Dec 14, 2019 — W vs Kai Kara-France Δ+18Mar 14, 2020 — W vs Jussier Formiga Δ+18Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+18Dec 12, 2020 — D vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ+6Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ+29Jan 22, 2022 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-18Jul 30, 2022 — W vs Kai Kara-France Δ+23Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ+23Jul 8, 2023 — L vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ-21Feb 24, 2024 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-19Nov 2, 2024 — W vs Amir Albazi Δ+17Mar 29, 2025 — W vs Steve Erceg Δ+12Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Tatsuro Taira Δ-18Feb 28, 2026 — L vs Lone'Er Kavanagh Δ-21 14501475150015251550157516001625 20182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":347.6,"elo":1484,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Louis Smolka","result":"W","delta":44},{"i":1,"x":103.2,"y":299.7,"elo":1510,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Ryan Benoit","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":132.5,"y":245.4,"elo":1540,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Dustin Ortiz","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":154.5,"y":304.7,"elo":1508,"date":"2017-08-05","opp":"Sergio Pettis","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":214.6,"y":362.8,"elo":1476,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":5,"x":317.3,"y":365.9,"elo":1474,"date":"2019-09-21","opp":"Askar Askarov","result":"D","delta":-2},{"i":6,"x":334.9,"y":333,"elo":1492,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Kai Kara-France","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":354,"y":299.6,"elo":1510,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Jussier Formiga","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":406.7,"y":266.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":411.1,"y":256.2,"elo":1534,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"D","delta":6},{"i":10,"x":449.3,"y":203.6,"elo":1563,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":11,"x":496.2,"y":236.8,"elo":1545,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":535.8,"y":195.1,"elo":1568,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Kai Kara-France","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":13,"x":572.4,"y":153.8,"elo":1590,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":14,"x":607.6,"y":192.4,"elo":1569,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":15,"x":656,"y":227.3,"elo":1550,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":708.8,"y":195.7,"elo":1567,"date":"2024-11-02","opp":"Amir Albazi","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":17,"x":739.6,"y":174.5,"elo":1579,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"Steve Erceg","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":18,"x":792.4,"y":207.4,"elo":1561,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Tatsuro Taira","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":810,"y":245.1,"elo":1540,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"Lone'Er Kavanagh","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 28, 2026 Lone'Er Kavanagh L -21
Dec 6, 2025 Tatsuro Taira L -18
Mar 29, 2025 Steve Erceg W +12
Nov 2, 2024 Amir Albazi W +17
Feb 24, 2024 Brandon Royval L -19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
45%
5 / 11
Finish rate
KO
2
18% of wins
SUB
3
27% of wins
DEC
5
45% of wins
KO: 2 (20%) 2 Sub: 3 (30%) 3 Dec: 5 (50%) 5
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
1 17%
R3
3 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1308 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
14%
of losses by finish
1 of 7
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 6 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1578
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Deiveson Figueiredo
Elo 1683 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.0
+1.0 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 20 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1615
1517
Notable wins
Deiveson Figueiredo ×2 1683 Amir Albazi 1638 Louis Smolka 1615 Kai Kara-France 1602 Jussier Formiga 1601

Top flyweight

See full rankings →
Alexandre Pantoja
#1 · Elo 1646
Joshua Van C
#2 · Elo 1633
Manel Kape
#3 · Elo 1601
Tatsuro Taira
#4 · Elo 1597
Kyoji Horiguchi
#5 · Elo 1578
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Brandon Moreno on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.