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Brandon Moreno

Active #11 flyweight · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1600 ±45
LCB 1541
Rank
#11
top 19% of division
UFC record
11-7-2
KO 2 · Sub 3 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d -21 · Δ1y -27
Last fight
Feb 28, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Oct 1, 2016 — W vs Louis Smolka Δ+44Dec 3, 2016 — W vs Ryan Benoit Δ+26Apr 22, 2017 — W vs Dustin Ortiz Δ+30Aug 5, 2017 — L vs Sergio Pettis Δ-32May 19, 2018 — L vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ-32Sep 21, 2019 — D vs Askar Askarov Δ-2Dec 14, 2019 — W vs Kai Kara-France Δ+18Mar 14, 2020 — W vs Jussier Formiga Δ+18Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+18Dec 12, 2020 — D vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ+6Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ+29Jan 22, 2022 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-18Jul 30, 2022 — W vs Kai Kara-France Δ+23Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ+23Jul 8, 2023 — L vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ-21Feb 24, 2024 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-19Nov 2, 2024 — W vs Amir Albazi Δ+17Mar 29, 2025 — W vs Steve Erceg Δ+12Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Tatsuro Taira Δ-18Feb 28, 2026 — L vs Lone'Er Kavanagh Δ-21 14941543159216411690 20182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":181.9,"elo":1544,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Louis Smolka","result":"W","delta":44},{"i":1,"x":39.6,"y":153.6,"elo":1570,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Ryan Benoit","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":74.3,"y":121.5,"elo":1600,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Dustin Ortiz","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":100.4,"y":156.5,"elo":1567,"date":"2017-08-05","opp":"Sergio Pettis","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":171.5,"y":190.9,"elo":1535,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":5,"x":293,"y":192.7,"elo":1534,"date":"2019-09-21","opp":"Askar Askarov","result":"D","delta":-2},{"i":6,"x":313.8,"y":173.3,"elo":1552,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Kai Kara-France","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":336.3,"y":153.5,"elo":1570,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Jussier Formiga","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":398.8,"y":133.9,"elo":1588,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":404,"y":127.8,"elo":1594,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"D","delta":6},{"i":10,"x":449.1,"y":96.7,"elo":1623,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":11,"x":504.7,"y":116.4,"elo":1604,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":551.5,"y":91.7,"elo":1627,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Kai Kara-France","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":13,"x":594.9,"y":67.3,"elo":1650,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":14,"x":636.5,"y":90.1,"elo":1629,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":15,"x":693.8,"y":110.7,"elo":1610,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":756.3,"y":92,"elo":1627,"date":"2024-11-02","opp":"Amir Albazi","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":17,"x":792.7,"y":79.5,"elo":1638,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"Steve Erceg","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":18,"x":855.2,"y":99,"elo":1620,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Tatsuro Taira","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":121.2,"elo":1600,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"Lone'Er Kavanagh","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 28, 2026 Lone'Er Kavanagh L -21
Dec 6, 2025 Tatsuro Taira L -18
Mar 29, 2025 Steve Erceg W +12
Nov 2, 2024 Amir Albazi W +17
Feb 24, 2024 Brandon Royval L -19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.74 avg 3.38
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.55 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.33 avg 1.56
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
65% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.39 avg 0.75
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
45%
5 / 11
Finish rate
KO
2
18% of wins
SUB
3
27% of wins
DEC
5
45% of wins
KO: 2 (20%) 2 Sub: 3 (30%) 3 Dec: 5 (50%) 5
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
1 17%
R3
3 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1578
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.0
actual +1 vs expected