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Mizuto Hirota

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1460 ±33
LCB 1417
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-5-1
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +27 · Δ1y +27
Last fight
Dec 1, 2018
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Mar 2, 2013 — L vs Rani Yahya Δ-27Jun 8, 2013 — L vs Rodrigo Damm Δ-26Sep 26, 2015 — D vs Teruto Ishihara Δ+4Dec 17, 2016 — W vs Cole Miller Δ+36Jun 10, 2017 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-25Feb 10, 2018 — L vs Ross Pearson Δ-13Dec 1, 2018 — L vs Christos Giagos Δ-16 13931426146014941527 20142015201620172018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":109.2,"elo":1473,"date":"2013-03-02","opp":"Rani Yahya","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":1,"x":63.8,"y":150.8,"elo":1447,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Rodrigo Damm","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":404.6,"y":143.9,"elo":1451,"date":"2015-09-26","opp":"Teruto Ishihara","result":"D","delta":4},{"i":3,"x":586.3,"y":87.1,"elo":1487,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Cole Miller","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":657.3,"y":126.8,"elo":1462,"date":"2017-06-10","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":5,"x":756.7,"y":148.1,"elo":1448,"date":"2018-02-10","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":172.9,"elo":1433,"date":"2018-12-01","opp":"Christos Giagos","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 1, 2018 Christos Giagos L -16
Feb 10, 2018 Ross Pearson L -13
Jun 10, 2017 Alexander Volkanovski L -25
Dec 17, 2016 Cole Miller W +36
Sep 26, 2015 Teruto Ishihara D +4

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.50 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.56 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.29 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
45% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
57% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.14 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1509
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.1
actual -2 vs expected