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Daniel Pineda "The Pit"

Active #59 featherweight · age 40 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission
Elo rating
1445
Global Elo 1487 ±32
Rank
#59
top 75% of division
UFC record
5-8-0
KO 1 · Sub 4 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Oct 19, 2024
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 1m
Avg fight time
9:17
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
1.0
Ground control
31m
Since last fight
1y 8mo

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Jan 20, 2012 — W vs Pat Schilling Δ+33Mar 2, 2012 — W vs Mackens Semerzier Δ+33May 26, 2012 — L vs Mike Brown Δ-38Jul 21, 2012 — L vs Antonio Carvalho Δ-39Apr 13, 2013 — W vs Justin Lawrence Δ+34Aug 17, 2013 — L vs Diego Brandao Δ-14Mar 15, 2014 — L vs Robert Whiteford Δ-18Aug 15, 2020 — W vs Herbert Burns Δ+23Dec 12, 2020 — L vs Cub Swanson Δ-14Mar 25, 2023 — W vs Tucker Lutz Δ+18Jun 3, 2023 — L vs Alex Caceres Δ-14Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Nathaniel Wood Δ-12Oct 19, 2024 — L vs Darren Elkins Δ-11 1400142514501475150015251550 201420162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":204.8,"elo":1496,"date":"2012-01-20","opp":"Pat Schilling","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":96.5,"y":134.2,"elo":1529,"date":"2012-03-02","opp":"Mackens Semerzier","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":109.6,"y":215.2,"elo":1491,"date":"2012-05-26","opp":"Mike Brown","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":3,"x":118.3,"y":298,"elo":1453,"date":"2012-07-21","opp":"Antonio Carvalho","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":4,"x":159.4,"y":225.7,"elo":1486,"date":"2013-04-13","opp":"Justin Lawrence","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":178.9,"y":255.1,"elo":1473,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Diego Brandao","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":211.4,"y":293.3,"elo":1455,"date":"2014-03-15","opp":"Robert Whiteford","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":574,"y":245.3,"elo":1477,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Herbert Burns","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":8,"x":592.4,"y":275.6,"elo":1463,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":721.2,"y":236.1,"elo":1482,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Tucker Lutz","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":732.1,"y":265.4,"elo":1468,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Alex Caceres","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":797,"y":291.2,"elo":1456,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Nathaniel Wood","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":314.6,"elo":1445,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 19, 2024 Darren Elkins L -11
Jul 27, 2024 Nathaniel Wood L -12
Jun 3, 2023 Alex Caceres L -14
Mar 25, 2023 Tucker Lutz W +18
Dec 12, 2020 Cub Swanson L -14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
5 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
4
80% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 4 (80%) 4 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
2 40%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 346 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
57% Distance
  • Distance 57%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 36%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
25%
of losses by finish
2 of 8
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 6 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1572
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Herbert Burns
Elo 1570 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.2
−1.1 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1604

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Daniel Pineda on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.