HonestElo
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Thomas Almeida

Inactive · Southpaw · 170 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1528 ±35
LCB 1483
Rank
UFC record
5-5-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-4
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Mar 27, 2021
L by KO

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Nov 8, 2014 — W vs Tim Gorman Δ+27Apr 25, 2015 — W vs Yves Jabouin Δ+34Jul 11, 2015 — W vs Brad Pickett Δ+28Nov 7, 2015 — W vs Anthony Birchak Δ+25May 29, 2016 — L vs Cody Garbrandt Δ-35Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Albert Morales Δ+15Jul 22, 2017 — L vs Jimmie Rivera Δ-15Jan 20, 2018 — L vs Rob Font Δ-18Oct 17, 2020 — L vs Jonathan Martinez Δ-17Mar 27, 2021 — L vs Sean O'Malley Δ-16 14851527156916111653 201620182020 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":183.5,"elo":1527,"date":"2014-11-08","opp":"Tim Gorman","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":85.4,"y":141.2,"elo":1560,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"Yves Jabouin","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":113.5,"y":106,"elo":1588,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Brad Pickett","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":157,"y":74.7,"elo":1613,"date":"2015-11-07","opp":"Anthony Birchak","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":231.6,"y":119.3,"elo":1577,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":5,"x":295.2,"y":100.8,"elo":1592,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Albert Morales","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":384.8,"y":119.4,"elo":1577,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Jimmie Rivera","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":451.3,"y":142.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2018-01-20","opp":"Rob Font","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":817.2,"y":164.4,"elo":1542,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Jonathan Martinez","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":185.3,"elo":1525,"date":"2021-03-27","opp":"Sean O'Malley","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 27, 2021 Sean O'Malley L -16
Oct 17, 2020 Jonathan Martinez L -17
Jan 20, 2018 Rob Font L -18
Jul 22, 2017 Jimmie Rivera L -15
Nov 19, 2016 Albert Morales W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.14 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.22 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.14 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
14% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
76% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
4 / 5
Finish rate
KO
4
80% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
20% of wins
KO: 4 (80%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (20%) 1
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
2 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1563
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.3
actual 0 vs expected