HonestElo
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Tony Kelley

Inactive · Switch · 175 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1515 ±38
LCB 1465
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d +7 · Δ1y +7
Last fight
Jun 18, 2022
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Aug 15, 2020 — L vs Kai Kamaka Iii Δ-29Oct 10, 2020 — W vs Ali AlQaisi Δ+29Dec 11, 2021 — W vs Randy Costa Δ+33Jun 18, 2022 — L vs Adrian Yanez Δ-25 14311467150215371573 20212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":176.1,"elo":1471,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Kai Kamaka Iii","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":95,"y":133.2,"elo":1500,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Ali AlQaisi","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":636.4,"y":83.9,"elo":1533,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Randy Costa","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":122,"elo":1507,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Adrian Yanez","result":"L","delta":-25}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 18, 2022 Adrian Yanez L -25
Dec 11, 2021 Randy Costa W +33
Oct 10, 2020 Ali AlQaisi W +29
Aug 15, 2020 Kai Kamaka Iii L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.31 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.64 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
52% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.33 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1520
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual 0 vs expected