HonestElo
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Randy Costa

Inactive · Switch · 175 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1469 ±38
LCB 1419
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +23 · Δ1y +23
Last fight
Oct 1, 2022
L by Submission

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Apr 13, 2019 — L vs Brandon Davis Δ-37Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Boston Salmon Δ+33Sep 19, 2020 — W vs Journey Newson Δ+31Jul 24, 2021 — L vs Adrian Yanez Δ-30Dec 11, 2021 — L vs Tony Kelley Δ-33Oct 1, 2022 — L vs Guido Cannetti Δ-18 14061446148715271567 202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":161.5,"elo":1463,"date":"2019-04-13","opp":"Brandon Davis","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":1,"x":150.4,"y":117.8,"elo":1496,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Boston Salmon","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":377,"y":76.7,"elo":1527,"date":"2020-09-19","opp":"Journey Newson","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":584.2,"y":115.6,"elo":1498,"date":"2021-07-24","opp":"Adrian Yanez","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":678.3,"y":159,"elo":1465,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Tony Kelley","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":183.3,"elo":1446,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Guido Cannetti","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 1, 2022 Guido Cannetti L -18
Dec 11, 2021 Tony Kelley L -33
Jul 24, 2021 Adrian Yanez L -30
Sep 19, 2020 Journey Newson W +31
Oct 18, 2019 Boston Salmon W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.87 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.49 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
2
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (100%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1493
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.0
actual -1 vs expected