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Takeya Mizugaki

Inactive · age 42 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
At a glance
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2011
Elo rating
1482
Global Elo 1532 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
8-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 7
Streak
-2
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Dec 17, 2016
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 42m
Avg fight time
11:32
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.4
Ground control
43m
Since last fight
9y 6mo

Honest Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Mar 3, 2011 — W vs Reuben Duran Δ+29Jul 2, 2011 — L vs Brian Bowles Δ-28Sep 24, 2011 — W vs Cole Escovedo Δ+30Feb 25, 2012 — L vs Chris Cariaso Δ-29Nov 10, 2012 — W vs Jeff Hougland Δ+29Mar 2, 2013 — W vs Bryan Caraway Δ+18Aug 28, 2013 — W vs Erik Perez Δ+18Dec 6, 2013 — W vs Nam Phan Δ+12May 24, 2014 — W vs Francisco Rivera Δ+15Sep 27, 2014 — L vs Dominick Cruz Δ-19Apr 18, 2015 — L vs Aljamain Sterling Δ-19Sep 26, 2015 — W vs George Roop Δ+12Aug 20, 2016 — L vs Cody Garbrandt Δ-15Dec 17, 2016 — L vs Eddie Wineland Δ-21 1425145014751500152515501575 20122013201420152016 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":293.7,"elo":1480,"date":"2011-03-03","opp":"Reuben Duran","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":131.2,"y":354.3,"elo":1451,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Brian Bowles","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":159.8,"y":289.7,"elo":1481,"date":"2011-09-24","opp":"Cole Escovedo","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":212.2,"y":351.8,"elo":1452,"date":"2012-02-25","opp":"Chris Cariaso","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":300.3,"y":290.5,"elo":1481,"date":"2012-11-10","opp":"Jeff Hougland","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":338.4,"y":253.2,"elo":1499,"date":"2013-03-02","opp":"Bryan Caraway","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":399.3,"y":215,"elo":1516,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Erik Perez","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":433.3,"y":189.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2013-12-06","opp":"Nam Phan","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":8,"x":490.8,"y":157.4,"elo":1543,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"Francisco Rivera","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":533.7,"y":198.6,"elo":1524,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Dominick Cruz","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":10,"x":602.8,"y":238.9,"elo":1505,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Aljamain Sterling","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":657.6,"y":212.7,"elo":1518,"date":"2015-09-26","opp":"George Roop","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":12,"x":769.5,"y":245.1,"elo":1502,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":810,"y":289.5,"elo":1482,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Eddie Wineland","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 17, 2016 Eddie Wineland L -21
Aug 20, 2016 Cody Garbrandt L -15
Sep 26, 2015 George Roop W +12
Apr 18, 2015 Aljamain Sterling L -19
Sep 27, 2014 Dominick Cruz L -19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
13%
1 / 8
Finish rate
KO
1
13% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
7
88% of wins
KO: 1 (13%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 7 (88%) 7
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 613 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 15%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
4 of 6 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1550
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Erik Perez
Elo 1590 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.2
+0.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 14 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1507

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1679
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1661
Umar Nurmagomedov
#3 · Elo 1649
Sean O'Malley
#4 · Elo 1632
Farid Basharat
#5 · Elo 1630
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Takeya Mizugaki on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.