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Raoni Barcelos

Active #10 bantamweight · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1632 ±37
LCB 1584
Rank
#10
top 10% of division
UFC record
10-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 6
Streak
+4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +31
Last fight
Nov 8, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Jul 14, 2018 — W vs Kurt Holobaugh Δ+31Nov 30, 2018 — W vs Chris Gutierrez Δ+30May 11, 2019 — W vs Carlos Huachin Δ+27Dec 21, 2019 — W vs Said Nurmagomedov Δ+27Nov 7, 2020 — W vs Khalid Taha Δ+20Jun 26, 2021 — L vs Timur Valiev Δ-21Jan 22, 2022 — L vs Victor Henry Δ-21Oct 1, 2022 — W vs Trevin Jones Δ+11Jan 14, 2023 — L vs Umar Nurmagomedov Δ-19Aug 5, 2023 — L vs Kyler Phillips Δ-16Feb 24, 2024 — W vs Cristian Quinonez Δ+15Jan 18, 2025 — W vs Payton Talbott Δ+16Jun 14, 2025 — W vs Cody Garbrandt Δ+16Nov 8, 2025 — W vs Ricky Simon Δ+15 14911537158316291676 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":190.1,"elo":1531,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Kurt Holobaugh","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":68.3,"y":155.5,"elo":1561,"date":"2018-11-30","opp":"Chris Gutierrez","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":119.9,"y":124.1,"elo":1588,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Carlos Huachin","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":191.3,"y":93,"elo":1616,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Said Nurmagomedov","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":293.9,"y":69.9,"elo":1636,"date":"2020-11-07","opp":"Khalid Taha","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":5,"x":367.5,"y":94.1,"elo":1615,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Timur Valiev","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":434.4,"y":118.3,"elo":1593,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Victor Henry","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":7,"x":514.7,"y":106.2,"elo":1604,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Trevin Jones","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":8,"x":548.1,"y":127.5,"elo":1585,"date":"2023-01-14","opp":"Umar Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":9,"x":612.8,"y":146.1,"elo":1569,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Kyler Phillips","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":677.5,"y":129.1,"elo":1584,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Cristian Quinonez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":782.3,"y":110.4,"elo":1600,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Payton Talbott","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":829.2,"y":92,"elo":1616,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":74.5,"elo":1632,"date":"2025-11-08","opp":"Ricky Simon","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 8, 2025 Ricky Simon W +15
Jun 14, 2025 Cody Garbrandt W +16
Jan 18, 2025 Payton Talbott W +16
Feb 24, 2024 Cristian Quinonez W +15
Aug 5, 2023 Kyler Phillips L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.72 avg 3.90
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.22 avg 3.00
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.13 avg 1.63
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
31% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
88% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.55 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
4 / 10
Finish rate
KO
2
20% of wins
SUB
2
20% of wins
DEC
6
60% of wins
KO: 2 (20%) 2 Sub: 2 (20%) 2 Dec: 6 (60%) 6
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
R2
2 50%
R3
2 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1575
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.0
actual +2 vs expected