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Raoni Barcelos

Active #9 bantamweight · age 39 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
At a glance
  • 5-fight UFC win streak
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2018
Elo rating
1602
Global Elo 1647 ±35
Rank
#9
top 10% of division
UFC record
11-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 7
Streak
+5
Δ90d +15 · Δ1y +30
Last fight
Apr 25, 2026
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 17m
Avg fight time
13:09
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
1.9
Ground control
49m
Since last fight
2mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Jul 14, 2018 — W vs Kurt Holobaugh Δ+31Nov 30, 2018 — W vs Chris Gutierrez Δ+30May 11, 2019 — W vs Carlos Huachin Δ+27Dec 21, 2019 — W vs Said Nurmagomedov Δ+27Nov 7, 2020 — W vs Khalid Taha Δ+20Jun 26, 2021 — L vs Timur Valiev Δ-21Jan 22, 2022 — L vs Victor Henry Δ-21Oct 1, 2022 — W vs Trevin Jones Δ+11Jan 14, 2023 — L vs Umar Nurmagomedov Δ-19Aug 5, 2023 — L vs Kyler Phillips Δ-16Feb 24, 2024 — W vs Cristian Quinonez Δ+15Jan 18, 2025 — W vs Payton Talbott Δ+16Jun 14, 2025 — W vs Cody Garbrandt Δ+16Nov 8, 2025 — W vs Ricky Simon Δ+15Apr 25, 2026 — W vs Montel Jackson Δ+15 14501475150015251550157516001625 2020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":344.5,"elo":1486,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Kurt Holobaugh","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":125.2,"y":289.5,"elo":1516,"date":"2018-11-30","opp":"Chris Gutierrez","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":166.3,"y":239.4,"elo":1543,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Carlos Huachin","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":223,"y":189.8,"elo":1570,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Said Nurmagomedov","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":304.6,"y":153.1,"elo":1590,"date":"2020-11-07","opp":"Khalid Taha","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":5,"x":363.1,"y":191.7,"elo":1569,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Timur Valiev","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":416.3,"y":230.3,"elo":1548,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Victor Henry","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":7,"x":480.1,"y":210.9,"elo":1559,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Trevin Jones","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":8,"x":506.7,"y":244.9,"elo":1540,"date":"2023-01-14","opp":"Umar Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":9,"x":558.2,"y":274.5,"elo":1524,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Kyler Phillips","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":609.6,"y":247.4,"elo":1539,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Cristian Quinonez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":693,"y":217.6,"elo":1555,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Payton Talbott","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":730.2,"y":188.2,"elo":1571,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":767.4,"y":160.4,"elo":1586,"date":"2025-11-08","opp":"Ricky Simon","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":132.4,"elo":1602,"date":"2026-04-25","opp":"Montel Jackson","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 25, 2026 Montel Jackson W +15
Nov 8, 2025 Ricky Simon W +15
Jun 14, 2025 Cody Garbrandt W +16
Jan 18, 2025 Payton Talbott W +16
Feb 24, 2024 Cristian Quinonez W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
36%
4 / 11
Finish rate
KO
2
18% of wins
SUB
2
18% of wins
DEC
7
64% of wins
KO: 2 (18%) 2 Sub: 2 (18%) 2 Dec: 7 (64%) 7
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
R2
2 50%
R3
2 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 918 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
74% Distance
  • Distance 74%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 19%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
25%
of losses by finish
1 of 4
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 3 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1582
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Montel Jackson
Elo 1616 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.5
+2.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1476
1616
Notable wins
Montel Jackson 1616 Cody Garbrandt 1603

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1679
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1661
Umar Nurmagomedov
#3 · Elo 1649
Sean O'Malley
#4 · Elo 1632
Farid Basharat
#5 · Elo 1630
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Raoni Barcelos on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.