HonestElo
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Daniel Marcos

Active #16 bantamweight
Elo rating
1604 ±26
LCB 1571
Rank
#16
top 16% of division
UFC record
5-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
Nov 8, 2025
W by Submission

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Saimon Oliveira Δ+30Jul 22, 2023 — W vs Davey Grant Δ+29Jun 8, 2024 — W vs John Castaneda Δ+29Dec 14, 2024 — W vs Adrian Yanez Δ+31May 3, 2025 — L vs Montel Jackson Δ-29Nov 8, 2025 — W vs Miles Johns Δ+15 14901532157416161658 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":185.5,"elo":1530,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Saimon Oliveira","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":175.7,"y":149.6,"elo":1559,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":444.2,"y":113.5,"elo":1587,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"John Castaneda","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":601.7,"y":74.5,"elo":1618,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Adrian Yanez","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":718.4,"y":111.4,"elo":1589,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Montel Jackson","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":92.1,"elo":1604,"date":"2025-11-08","opp":"Miles Johns","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 8, 2025 Miles Johns W +15
May 3, 2025 Montel Jackson L -29
Dec 14, 2024 Adrian Yanez W +31
Jun 8, 2024 John Castaneda W +29
Jul 22, 2023 Davey Grant W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.11 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.63 avg 3.02
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.69 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
53% avg 36%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
86% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.19 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1568
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.1
actual +2 vs expected