HonestElo
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Dominick Cruz

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1621 ±38
LCB 1571
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d -28 · Δ1y -28
Last fight
Aug 13, 2022
L by KO

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Jul 2, 2011 — W vs Urijah Faber Δ+39Oct 1, 2011 — W vs Demetrious Johnson Δ+38Sep 27, 2014 — W vs Takeya Mizugaki Δ+35Jan 17, 2016 — W vs TJ Dillashaw Δ+41Jun 4, 2016 — W vs Urijah Faber Δ+31Dec 30, 2016 — L vs Cody Garbrandt Δ-22May 9, 2020 — L vs Henry Cejudo Δ-22Mar 6, 2021 — W vs Casey Kenney Δ+15Dec 11, 2021 — W vs Pedro Munhoz Δ+14Aug 13, 2022 — L vs Marlon Vera Δ-20 14991555161116681724 20132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":198.3,"elo":1539,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":1,"x":43.1,"y":162.5,"elo":1577,"date":"2011-10-01","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":2,"x":272.3,"y":129.9,"elo":1612,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Takeya Mizugaki","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":372.4,"y":91.4,"elo":1652,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":4,"x":401.5,"y":61.7,"elo":1684,"date":"2016-06-04","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":445.4,"y":82.2,"elo":1662,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":6,"x":702.7,"y":102.8,"elo":1640,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Henry Cejudo","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":7,"x":765.8,"y":88.9,"elo":1655,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Casey Kenney","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":824.6,"y":76.2,"elo":1668,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Pedro Munhoz","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":94.8,"elo":1649,"date":"2022-08-13","opp":"Marlon Vera","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 13, 2022 Marlon Vera L -20
Dec 11, 2021 Pedro Munhoz W +14
Mar 6, 2021 Casey Kenney W +15
May 9, 2020 Henry Cejudo L -22
Dec 30, 2016 Cody Garbrandt L -22

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.11 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
38% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.09 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
66% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.21 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
32% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
84% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.08 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
14%
1 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
86% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (86%) 6
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1638
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.1
actual +2 vs expected