Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Ion Cutelaba

9-11-1 UFC record
KO 4 · Sub 2 Finishes
-1 Streak
32 Age
6'1"185 cm Height
75"191 cm Reach
Southpaw Stance
1519 Global Elo
1468 Elo Rating

Notable

67% of wins by KO or submission
67% of wins finished in round 1
100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

CORNER B

Navajo Stirling

6-0-0 UFC record
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes
+6 Streak
28 Age
6'4"193 cm Height
79"201 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1648 Global Elo
1622 Elo Rating

Notable

6-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
3 KO/TKO finishes in a row
50% of wins by KO/TKO

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Follow @HonestElo Next card →

Other fights on this card · 8

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Main event · flyweight Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili featherweight Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez featherweight Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins women's bantamweight Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo flyweight Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. featherweight Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos women's bantamweight

Notable

division-context facts

Stirling

Unbeaten in the UFC at 6–0.

Tale of the tape

9-11-1	UFC record	6-0-0
KO 4 · Sub 2	Finishes	KO 3 · Sub 0
-1	Streak	+6
32	Age	28
6'1" 185 cm	Height	6'4" 193 cm
75" 191 cm	Reach	79" 201 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
1519	Global Elo	1648
1468	Elo rating	1622

Ion Cutelaba — Notable ▼

At a glance

67% of wins by KO or submission
67% of wins finished in round 1
100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
UFC veteran since 2016

Navajo Stirling — Notable ▼

At a glance

6-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
Performance of the Night in last fight
3 KO/TKO finishes in a row
50% of wins by KO/TKO

Ion Cutelaba — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 694 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

69% Head

Head 69%
Body 18%
Leg 13%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

60% Distance

Distance 60%
Clinch 20%
Ground 20%

Navajo Stirling — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 419 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

53% Head

Head 53%
Body 32%
Leg 16%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

75% Distance

Distance 75%
Clinch 6%
Ground 20%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.13

6.41

div avg 4.76

44%

54%

div avg 51%

3.42

2.46

div avg 4.12

46%

59%

div avg 52%

4.02

0.92

div avg 1.35

51%

36%

div avg 39%

76%

70%

div avg 71%

0.27

0.00

div avg 0.58

div avg 2

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Ion Cutelaba

67% finish rate

KO 4 · Sub 2

can finish?

Navajo Stirling

finished —

no losses

Navajo Stirling

50% finish rate

KO 3 · Sub 0

can finish?

Ion Cutelaba

finished 73%

8 of 11 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1548 (Ion Cutelaba) vs 1532 (Navajo Stirling).

Ion Cutelaba red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1548

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 9 UFC wins

Toughest win

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

Elo 1569 at fight time

Expected wins

9.6

−0.6 below schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 21 fights

1563

1604

Navajo Stirling blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1532

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 6 UFC wins

Toughest win

Jan Blachowicz

Elo 1623 at fight time

Expected wins

3.4

+2.6 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights

1467

1623

Notable wins

Jan Blachowicz 1623

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

W

Ivan Erslan

W

Decision - Split

Decision - Unanimous

Sep 28, 2024

May 10, 2025

W · Decision - Split

Sep 28, 2024

Ivan Erslan

W · Decision - Unanimous

May 10, 2025

Corner A recent form

Ion Cutelaba

L Navajo Stirling KO/TKO · R2

Jun 20, 2026
W Oumar Sy Submission · R1

Mar 14, 2026
L Modestas Bukauskas Decision - Split

May 10, 2025
W Ibo Aslan Submission · R1

Feb 22, 2025
W Ivan Erslan Decision - Split

Sep 28, 2024
L Philipe Lins Decision - Unanimous

Mar 9, 2024
W Tanner Boser KO/TKO · R1

Apr 15, 2023
L Kennedy Nzechukwu KO/TKO · R2

Nov 19, 2022
L Johnny Walker Submission · R1

Sep 10, 2022
L Ryan Spann Submission · R1

May 14, 2022
W Devin Clark Decision - Unanimous

Sep 18, 2021
D Dustin Jacoby Decision - Split

May 1, 2021
L Magomed Ankalaev KO/TKO · R1

Oct 24, 2020
L Magomed Ankalaev KO/TKO · R1

Feb 29, 2020
W Khalil Rountree Jr. KO/TKO · R1

Sep 28, 2019
L Glover Teixeira Submission · R2

Apr 27, 2019
W Gadzhimurad Antigulov KO/TKO · R1

Jul 28, 2018
W Henrique da Silva KO/TKO · R1

Jun 10, 2017
L Jared Cannonier Decision - Unanimous

Dec 3, 2016
W Jonathan Wilson Decision - Unanimous

Oct 1, 2016
L Misha Cirkunov Submission · R3

Jun 18, 2016

Corner B recent form

Navajo Stirling

W Jan Blachowicz KO/TKO · R1

Aug 1, 2026
W Ion Cutelaba KO/TKO · R2

Jun 20, 2026
W Bruno Lopes KO/TKO · R2

Mar 28, 2026
W Rodolfo Bellato Decision - Unanimous

Sep 27, 2025
W Ivan Erslan Decision - Unanimous

May 10, 2025
W Tuco Tokkos Decision - Unanimous

Dec 14, 2024

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Ion Cutelaba & Navajo Stirling on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.