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✓ Bia Mesquita won · by Submission · R1 · 3:16
women's bantamweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Jun 20, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Bia Mesquita
#6 3-0-0
Elo 1565
VS
Corner B
Melissa Mullins
#28 2-3-0
Elo 1422
Final result · recorded Jun 21, 2026
Bia Mesquita
defeated Melissa Mullins by Submission in round 1 at 3:16

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Bia Mesquita 77.9% · Melissa Mullins 22.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Bia Mesquita 57.6% · Melissa Mullins 42.4%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Main event · flyweight Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling light heavyweight Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili featherweight Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez featherweight Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo flyweight Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. featherweight Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos women's bantamweight

Tale of the tape

3-0-0 UFC record 2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
+3 Streak -2
35 Age 34
5'4" 163 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
67" 170 cm Reach 68" 173 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1591 Global Elo 1473
1565 Elo rating 1422
Bia Mesquita — Notable ▼
At a glance
Melissa Mullins — Notable ▼
At a glance

Bia Mesquita — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 57 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
93% Head
  • Head 93%
  • Body 4%
  • Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Ground
  • Distance 19%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 81%

Melissa Mullins — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 175 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
82% Head
  • Head 82%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
74% Distance
  • Distance 74%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 22%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.52
3.67
div avg 3.89
57%
50%
div avg 48%
1.27
4.15
div avg 3.32
71%
53%
div avg 56%
3.57
2.20
div avg 1.34
75%
47%
div avg 39%
0%
86%
div avg 62%
3.57
0.00
div avg 0.44
8
7
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Bia Mesquita
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 3
can finish?
Melissa Mullins
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses
Melissa Mullins
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Bia Mesquita
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Melissa Mullins has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1527 vs 1501, 0 quality wins to 0.

Bia Mesquita red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1501
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Montse Rendon
Elo 1529 at fight time
Expected wins
1.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1473
1501
Melissa Mullins blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1527
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Irina Alekseeva
Elo 1537 at fight time
Expected wins
2.4
−0.4 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1537
1564

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Irina Alekseeva
    W
    Submission
    Decision - Unanimous
    Oct 11, 2025
    Oct 14, 2023
Corner A recent form
Bia Mesquita
Corner B recent form
Melissa Mullins
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Bia Mesquita & Melissa Mullins on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.