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✓ Manel Kape won · by TKO · R3 · 2:42
flyweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Jun 20, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Manel Kape
#3 8-3-0
Elo 1601
VS
Corner B
Kyoji Horiguchi
#5 9-2-0
Elo 1578
Final result · recorded Jun 21, 2026
Manel Kape
defeated Kyoji Horiguchi by TKO in round 3 at 2:42

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Manel Kape 69.7% · Kyoji Horiguchi 30.3%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Manel Kape 46.0% · Kyoji Horiguchi 54.0%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling light heavyweight Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili featherweight Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez featherweight Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins women's bantamweight Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo flyweight Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. featherweight Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos women's bantamweight

Tale of the tape

8-3-0 UFC record 9-2-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 1
+4 Streak -1
32 Age 35
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'5" 165 cm
68" 173 cm Reach 66" 168 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1632 Global Elo 1620
1601 Elo rating 1578
Manel Kape — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 4 KO/TKO finishes in a row
Kyoji Horiguchi — Notable ▼
At a glance

Manel Kape — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 580 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 7%

Kyoji Horiguchi — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 555 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
75% Head
  • Head 75%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
70% Distance
  • Distance 70%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 17%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.68
3.64
div avg 3.86
55%
48%
div avg 47%
3.88
2.08
div avg 3.24
57%
64%
div avg 56%
0.36
1.67
div avg 1.55
30%
40%
div avg 38%
79%
61%
div avg 64%
0.24
0.10
div avg 0.73
0
3
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Manel Kape
75% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 0
can finish?
Kyoji Horiguchi
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Kyoji Horiguchi
33% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 1
can finish?
Manel Kape
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1604 (Manel Kape) vs 1587 (Kyoji Horiguchi).

Manel Kape red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1604
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Kyoji Horiguchi
Elo 1640 at fight time
Expected wins
5.1
+2.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1587
1640
Notable wins
Kyoji Horiguchi 1640 Asu Almabayev 1615
Kyoji Horiguchi blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1587
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Amir Albazi
Elo 1620 at fight time
Expected wins
6.1
+2.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1423
1612
Notable wins
Amir Albazi 1620 Tagir Ulanbekov 1612
Corner A recent form
Manel Kape
Corner B recent form
Kyoji Horiguchi
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Manel Kape & Kyoji Horiguchi on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.