Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Vinicius Oliveira

5-1-0 UFC record
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes
+1 Streak
30 Age
5'9"175 cm Height
70"178 cm Reach
Switch Stance
1610 Global Elo
1571 Elo Rating

CORNER B

Andre Fili

14-13-0 UFC record
KO 5 · Sub 0 Finishes
+1 Streak
36 Age
5'11"180 cm Height
74"188 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1535 Global Elo
1486 Elo Rating

Notable

UFC veteran since 2013

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Follow @HonestElo Next card →

Other fights on this card · 8

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Main event · flyweight Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling light heavyweight Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez featherweight Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins women's bantamweight Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo flyweight Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. featherweight Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos women's bantamweight

Notable

division-context facts

Fili

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

5-1-0	UFC record	14-13-0
KO 2 · Sub 0	Finishes	KO 5 · Sub 0
+1	Streak	+1
30	Age	36
5'9" 175 cm	Height	5'11" 180 cm
70" 178 cm	Reach	74" 188 cm
Switch	Stance	Orthodox
1610	Global Elo	1535
1571	Elo rating	1486

Vinicius Oliveira — Notable ▼

At a glance

Fight of the Night in last fight
Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights

Andre Fili — Notable ▼

At a glance

Performance of the Night in last fight
Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
UFC veteran since 2013

Vinicius Oliveira — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 419 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

52% Head

Head 52%
Body 24%
Leg 24%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

84% Distance

Distance 84%
Clinch 6%
Ground 11%

Andre Fili — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1171 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

74% Head

Head 74%
Body 15%
Leg 12%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

88% Distance

Distance 88%
Clinch 6%
Ground 7%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.28

3.99

div avg 4.59

48%

38%

div avg 49%

2.88

4.58

div avg 3.37

59%

50%

div avg 57%

1.32

2.19

div avg 1.42

44%

46%

div avg 42%

70%

72%

div avg 65%

0.19

0.20

div avg 0.48

div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Vinicius Oliveira

40% finish rate

KO 2 · Sub 0

can finish?

Andre Fili

finished 54%

7 of 13 losses

Andre Fili

36% finish rate

KO 5 · Sub 0

can finish?

Vinicius Oliveira

finished 100%

1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Vinicius Oliveira has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1594 vs 1540, 1 quality wins to 2.

Vinicius Oliveira red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1594

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 5 UFC wins

Toughest win

Said Nurmagomedov

Elo 1626 at fight time

Expected wins

2.9

+2.1 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights

1500

1534

Notable wins

Said Nurmagomedov 1626

Andre Fili blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1540

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 14 UFC wins

Toughest win

Myles Jury

Elo 1624 at fight time

Expected wins

13.1

+0.9 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 28 fights

1434

1477

Notable wins

Myles Jury 1624 Cub Swanson 1607

Corner A recent form

Vinicius Oliveira

W Andre Fili KO/TKO · R2

Jun 20, 2026
L Mario Bautista Submission · R2

Feb 7, 2026
W Kyler Phillips Decision - Unanimous

Jul 19, 2025
W Said Nurmagomedov Decision - Unanimous

Feb 1, 2025
W Ricky Simon Decision - Unanimous

Jun 29, 2024
W Benardo Sopaj KO/TKO · R3

Mar 2, 2024

Corner B recent form

Andre Fili

W Kai Kamaka Iii KO/TKO · R2

Oct 10, 2026
L Vinicius Oliveira KO/TKO · R2

Jun 20, 2026
L Jose Delgado Decision - Split

Mar 14, 2026
W Christian Rodriguez Decision - Split

Aug 9, 2025
L Melquizael Costa Submission · R1

Feb 22, 2025
W Cub Swanson Decision - Split

Jun 29, 2024
L Dan Ige KO/TKO · R1

Feb 10, 2024
W Lucas Almeida KO/TKO · R1

Dec 16, 2023
L Nathaniel Wood Decision - Unanimous

Jul 22, 2023
W Bill Algeo Decision - Split

Sep 17, 2022
L Joanderson Brito KO/TKO · R1

Apr 30, 2022
NC Daniel Pineda Could Not Continue

Jun 26, 2021
L Bryce Mitchell Decision - Unanimous

Oct 31, 2020
W Charles Jourdain Decision - Split

Jun 13, 2020
L Sodiq Yusuff Decision - Unanimous

Jan 18, 2020
W Sheymon Moraes KO/TKO · R1

Jul 13, 2019
W Myles Jury Decision - Unanimous

Feb 17, 2019
L Michael Johnson Decision - Split

Aug 25, 2018
W Dennis Bermudez Decision - Split

Jan 27, 2018
W Artem Lobov Decision - Unanimous

Oct 21, 2017
L Calvin Kattar Decision - Unanimous

Jul 29, 2017
W Hacran Dias Decision - Unanimous

Oct 1, 2016
L Yair Rodriguez KO/TKO · R2

Apr 23, 2016
W Gabriel Benitez KO/TKO · R1

Nov 21, 2015
L Godofredo Pepey Submission · R1

Mar 21, 2015
W Felipe Arantes Decision - Unanimous

Oct 25, 2014
L Max Holloway Submission · R3

Apr 26, 2014
W Jeremy Larsen KO/TKO · R2

Oct 19, 2013

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Vinicius Oliveira & Andre Fili on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.