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✓ Christian Rodriguez won · by Submission · R1 · 3:43
featherweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Jun 20, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Hyder Amil
#54 3-3-0
Elo 1453
VS
Corner B
Christian Rodriguez
#33 6-4-0
Elo 1519
Final result · recorded Jun 21, 2026
Christian Rodriguez
defeated Hyder Amil by Submission in round 1 at 3:43

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Hyder Amil 45.2% · Christian Rodriguez 54.8%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Hyder Amil 45.7% · Christian Rodriguez 54.3%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Main event · flyweight Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling light heavyweight Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili featherweight Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins women's bantamweight Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo flyweight Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. featherweight Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos women's bantamweight

Tale of the tape

3-3-0 UFC record 6-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 2
-3 Streak +1
36 Age 28
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
70" 178 cm Reach 71" 180 cm
Switch Stance Orthodox
1506 Global Elo 1569
1453 Elo rating 1519
Hyder Amil — Notable ▼
At a glance
Christian Rodriguez — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1

Hyder Amil — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 309 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 6%

Christian Rodriguez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 439 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
68% Distance
  • Distance 68%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 15%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

7.28
3.73
div avg 4.31
53%
52%
div avg 48%
4.95
2.92
div avg 3.46
51%
56%
div avg 56%
0.71
2.04
div avg 1.56
17%
40%
div avg 41%
47%
66%
div avg 65%
0.71
1.27
div avg 0.48
2
4
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Hyder Amil
67% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Christian Rodriguez
finished 25%
1 of 4 losses
Christian Rodriguez
33% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 2
can finish?
Hyder Amil
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Hyder Amil has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1552 vs 1519, 1 quality wins to 0.

Hyder Amil red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1552
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
William Gomis
Elo 1617 at fight time
Expected wins
3.1
−0.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1418
1552
Notable wins
William Gomis 1617
Christian Rodriguez blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1519
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Cameron Saaiman
Elo 1588 at fight time
Expected wins
5.3
+0.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1547
1522
Corner A recent form
Hyder Amil
Corner B recent form
Christian Rodriguez
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Hyder Amil & Christian Rodriguez on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.