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✓ Luana Santos won · by Decision · R3 · 5:00
women's bantamweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Jun 20, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Karol Rosa
#12 8-5-0
Elo 1510
VS
Corner B
Luana Santos
#2 6-1-0
Elo 1577
Final result · recorded Jun 21, 2026
Luana Santos
defeated Karol Rosa by Decision in round 3 at 5:00

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Karol Rosa 35.5% · Luana Santos 64.5%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Karol Rosa 45.7% · Luana Santos 54.3%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Main event · flyweight Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling light heavyweight Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili featherweight Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez featherweight Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins women's bantamweight Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo flyweight Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. featherweight

Tale of the tape

8-5-0 UFC record 6-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 2
-1 Streak +3
31 Age 26
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'6" 168 cm
67" 170 cm Reach 67" 170 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1556 Global Elo 1615
1510 Elo rating 1577
Karol Rosa — Notable ▼
At a glance
Luana Santos — Notable ▼
At a glance

Karol Rosa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1066 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 29%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 9%

Luana Santos — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 195 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 29%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 2%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.47
2.53
div avg 3.89
56%
54%
div avg 48%
4.28
2.45
div avg 3.32
50%
64%
div avg 56%
1.08
2.14
div avg 1.34
48%
38%
div avg 39%
73%
86%
div avg 62%
0.15
0.97
div avg 0.44
4
8
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Karol Rosa
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Luana Santos
finished 0%
never finished
Luana Santos
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Karol Rosa
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Karol Rosa has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1566 vs 1536, 0 quality wins to 0.

Karol Rosa red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1566
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Nora Cornolle
Elo 1563 at fight time
Expected wins
7.1
+0.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1500
1601
Luana Santos blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1536
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Karol Rosa
Elo 1570 at fight time
Expected wins
3.8
+2.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1496
1570
Corner A recent form
Karol Rosa
Corner B recent form
Luana Santos
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Karol Rosa & Luana Santos on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.