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John Dodson "The Magician"

Inactive · age 41 · Orthodox · 5'3" 160 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 66" 168 cm
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 60% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 30% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2011
Elo rating
1514
Global Elo 1564 ±38
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-7-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -10 · Δ1y -10
Last fight
Aug 15, 2020
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 52m
Avg fight time
13:37
Title fights
1-2
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.0
Since last fight
5y 10mo

Honest Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Dec 3, 2011 — W vs TJ Dillashaw Δ+41May 5, 2012 — W vs Tim Elliott Δ+25Oct 5, 2012 — W vs Jussier Formiga Δ+27Jan 26, 2013 — L vs Demetrious Johnson Δ-39Oct 19, 2013 — W vs Darrell Montague Δ+28Jun 7, 2014 — W vs John Moraga Δ+15May 23, 2015 — W vs Zach Makovsky Δ+14Sep 5, 2015 — L vs Demetrious Johnson Δ-16Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Manvel Gamburyan Δ+14Oct 1, 2016 — L vs John Lineker Δ-15Apr 22, 2017 — W vs Eddie Wineland Δ+13Nov 11, 2017 — L vs Marlon Moraes Δ-22Mar 3, 2018 — W vs Pedro Munhoz Δ+16Sep 8, 2018 — L vs Jimmie Rivera Δ-15Feb 23, 2019 — L vs Petr Yan Δ-16Feb 15, 2020 — W vs Nathaniel Wood Δ+20Aug 15, 2020 — L vs Merab Dvalishvili Δ-18 1460148015001520154015601580 2013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":351.9,"elo":1482,"date":"2011-12-03","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":124.9,"y":284.1,"elo":1507,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Tim Elliott","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":159.6,"y":212.7,"elo":1534,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Jussier Formiga","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":185.2,"y":315.9,"elo":1495,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":4,"x":245.4,"y":241.2,"elo":1523,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"Darrell Montague","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":297.8,"y":201.5,"elo":1538,"date":"2014-06-07","opp":"John Moraga","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":377,"y":164.7,"elo":1552,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"Zach Makovsky","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":400.8,"y":206.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2015-09-05","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":451.6,"y":170.5,"elo":1550,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Manvel Gamburyan","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":489.6,"y":209.5,"elo":1535,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"John Lineker","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":535.6,"y":175.1,"elo":1548,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Eddie Wineland","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":11,"x":581.6,"y":232.4,"elo":1527,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Marlon Moraes","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":12,"x":607,"y":189.2,"elo":1543,"date":"2018-03-03","opp":"Pedro Munhoz","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":649.8,"y":229.2,"elo":1528,"date":"2018-09-08","opp":"Jimmie Rivera","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":687.9,"y":271.6,"elo":1512,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Petr Yan","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":15,"x":768.8,"y":218.3,"elo":1532,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Nathaniel Wood","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":16,"x":810,"y":265.7,"elo":1514,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Merab Dvalishvili","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 15, 2020 Merab Dvalishvili L -18
Feb 15, 2020 Nathaniel Wood W +20
Feb 23, 2019 Petr Yan L -16
Sep 8, 2018 Jimmie Rivera L -15
Mar 3, 2018 Pedro Munhoz W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
5 / 10
Finish rate
KO
5
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
40% of wins
KO: 5 (56%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (44%) 4
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
3 50%
R2
2 33%
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 742 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 30%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 4%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 7 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1592
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Nathaniel Wood
Elo 1602 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
9.1
+0.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 17 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1553
Notable wins
Nathaniel Wood 1602

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1679
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1661
Umar Nurmagomedov
#3 · Elo 1649
Sean O'Malley
#4 · Elo 1632
Farid Basharat
#5 · Elo 1630
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from John Dodson on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.