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John Dodson

Inactive · Orthodox · 160 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1564 ±39
LCB 1513
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-7-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -9 · Δ1y -9
Last fight
Aug 15, 2020
L by Decision

Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Dec 3, 2011 — W vs TJ Dillashaw Δ+41May 5, 2012 — W vs Tim Elliott Δ+25Oct 5, 2012 — W vs Jussier Formiga Δ+27Jan 26, 2013 — L vs Demetrious Johnson Δ-39Oct 19, 2013 — W vs Darrell Montague Δ+28Jun 7, 2014 — W vs John Moraga Δ+15May 23, 2015 — W vs Zach Makovsky Δ+14Sep 5, 2015 — L vs Demetrious Johnson Δ-16Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Manvel Gamburyan Δ+14Oct 1, 2016 — L vs John Lineker Δ-15Apr 22, 2017 — W vs Eddie Wineland Δ+13Nov 11, 2017 — L vs Marlon Moraes Δ-22Mar 3, 2018 — W vs Pedro Munhoz Δ+16Sep 8, 2018 — L vs Jimmie Rivera Δ-15Feb 23, 2019 — L vs Petr Yan Δ-16Feb 15, 2020 — W vs Nathaniel Wood Δ+20Aug 15, 2020 — L vs Merab Dvalishvili Δ-18 15011539157716141652 2013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":179.5,"elo":1541,"date":"2011-12-03","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":65.3,"y":143.7,"elo":1567,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Tim Elliott","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":106.3,"y":105.9,"elo":1594,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Jussier Formiga","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":136.6,"y":160.5,"elo":1555,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":4,"x":207.9,"y":121,"elo":1583,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"Darrell Montague","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":269.8,"y":99.9,"elo":1598,"date":"2014-06-07","opp":"John Moraga","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":363.7,"y":80.5,"elo":1612,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"Zach Makovsky","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":391.8,"y":102.6,"elo":1596,"date":"2015-09-05","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":451.9,"y":83.6,"elo":1609,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Manvel Gamburyan","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":496.9,"y":104.2,"elo":1595,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"John Lineker","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":551.3,"y":86,"elo":1608,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Eddie Wineland","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":11,"x":605.8,"y":116.3,"elo":1586,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Marlon Moraes","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":12,"x":635.8,"y":93.4,"elo":1602,"date":"2018-03-03","opp":"Pedro Munhoz","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":686.5,"y":114.6,"elo":1587,"date":"2018-09-08","opp":"Jimmie Rivera","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":731.5,"y":137.1,"elo":1572,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Petr Yan","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":15,"x":827.2,"y":108.8,"elo":1592,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Nathaniel Wood","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":16,"x":876,"y":134,"elo":1574,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Merab Dvalishvili","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 15, 2020 Merab Dvalishvili L -18
Feb 15, 2020 Nathaniel Wood W +20
Feb 23, 2019 Petr Yan L -16
Sep 8, 2018 Jimmie Rivera L -15
Mar 3, 2018 Pedro Munhoz W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.03 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.38 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.67 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
29% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
82% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
5 / 10
Finish rate
KO
5
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
40% of wins
KO: 5 (56%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (44%) 4
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
3 50%
R2
2 33%
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1592
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.1
actual +1 vs expected