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Victor Altamirano "El Magnifico"

Active #37 flyweight · age 35 · Switch · 5'8" 173 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1410
Global Elo 1460 ±38
Rank
#37
top 84% of division
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +9 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Sep 28, 2024
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 19m
Avg fight time
13:06
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.3
Since last fight
1y 9mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Feb 26, 2022 — L vs Carlos Hernandez Δ-29Aug 20, 2022 — W vs Daniel Lacerda Δ+30Mar 25, 2023 — W vs Vinicius Salvador Δ+29Jun 3, 2023 — L vs Tim Elliott Δ-33Feb 24, 2024 — L vs Felipe Dos Santos Δ-31Sep 28, 2024 — L vs Daniel Barez Δ-16 1375140014251450147515001525 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":291.2,"elo":1431,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Carlos Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":223.3,"y":227.2,"elo":1461,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Daniel Lacerda","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":388.7,"y":165.9,"elo":1489,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Vinicius Salvador","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":442,"y":235.7,"elo":1457,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Tim Elliott","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":644.7,"y":300.8,"elo":1426,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Felipe Dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":335.1,"elo":1410,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Daniel Barez","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 28, 2024 Daniel Barez L -16
Feb 24, 2024 Felipe Dos Santos L -31
Jun 3, 2023 Tim Elliott L -33
Mar 25, 2023 Vinicius Salvador W +29
Aug 20, 2022 Daniel Lacerda W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 329 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
47% Head
  • Head 47%
  • Body 37%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 14%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 4 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1472
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Vinicius Salvador
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.1
−1.1 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1465
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Victor Altamirano on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.