HonestElo
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Victor Altamirano

Active #49 flyweight
Elo rating
1456 ±38
LCB 1406
Rank
#49
top 92% of division
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Sep 28, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Feb 26, 2022 — L vs Carlos Hernandez Δ-29Aug 20, 2022 — W vs Daniel Lacerda Δ+30Mar 25, 2023 — W vs Vinicius Salvador Δ+29Jun 3, 2023 — L vs Tim Elliott Δ-33Feb 24, 2024 — L vs Felipe Dos Santos Δ-31Sep 28, 2024 — L vs Daniel Barez Δ-16 14111450149015301570 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":155.4,"elo":1471,"date":"2022-02-26","opp":"Carlos Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":181.8,"y":115.4,"elo":1501,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Daniel Lacerda","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":377.4,"y":77.2,"elo":1530,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Vinicius Salvador","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":440.5,"y":120.8,"elo":1497,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Tim Elliott","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":680.4,"y":161.3,"elo":1467,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Felipe Dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":182.8,"elo":1451,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Daniel Barez","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 28, 2024 Daniel Barez L -16
Feb 24, 2024 Felipe Dos Santos L -31
Jun 3, 2023 Tim Elliott L -33
Mar 25, 2023 Vinicius Salvador W +29
Aug 20, 2022 Daniel Lacerda W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.11 avg 3.39
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.56 avg 2.87
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.63 avg 1.55
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
59% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.74
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1472
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.1
actual -1 vs expected