HonestElo
← flyweight

Daniel Lacerda

Inactive
Elo rating
1385 ±20
LCB 1359
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-5
Δ90d +28 · Δ1y +28
Last fight
Feb 24, 2024
L by Submission

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Oct 23, 2021 — L vs Jeff Molina Δ-30Apr 30, 2022 — L vs Francisco Figueiredo Δ-31Aug 20, 2022 — L vs Victor Altamirano Δ-30Mar 25, 2023 — L vs Cj Vergara Δ-27Feb 24, 2024 — L vs Edgar Chairez Δ-24 13171365141314611510 202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":68,"elo":1470,"date":"2021-10-23","opp":"Jeff Molina","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":212.6,"y":102.4,"elo":1438,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Francisco Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":324.3,"y":135.4,"elo":1408,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Victor Altamirano","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":540.8,"y":165.6,"elo":1381,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Cj Vergara","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":192,"elo":1357,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Edgar Chairez","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 24, 2024 Edgar Chairez L -24
Mar 25, 2023 Cj Vergara L -27
Aug 20, 2022 Victor Altamirano L -30
Apr 30, 2022 Francisco Figueiredo L -31
Oct 23, 2021 Jeff Molina L -30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.80 avg 3.39
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.77 avg 2.87
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
35% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.29 avg 1.55
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.86 avg 0.74
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1488
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.2
actual -2 vs expected