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Louis Smolka "Da Last Samurai"

Inactive · age 34 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 68" 173 cm
At a glance
  • 75% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1461
Global Elo 1512 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
8-9-0
KO 4 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +8 · Δ1y +8
Last fight
May 14, 2022
Loss by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 40m
Avg fight time
9:24
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
2.0
Ground control
45m
Since last fight
4y 1mo

Honest Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Alptekin Ozkilic Δ+31May 10, 2014 — L vs Chris Cariaso Δ-26Nov 7, 2014 — W vs Richie Vaculik Δ+33Jul 11, 2015 — W vs Neil Seery Δ+29Oct 24, 2015 — W vs Paddy Holohan Δ+32Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Ben Nguyen Δ+17Oct 1, 2016 — L vs Brandon Moreno Δ-24Dec 30, 2016 — L vs Ray Borg Δ-18Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Tim Elliott Δ-21Dec 30, 2017 — L vs Matheus Nicolau Δ-15Nov 24, 2018 — W vs Sumudaerji Δ+17Mar 9, 2019 — L vs Matt Schnell Δ-21Sep 14, 2019 — W vs Ryan MacDonald Δ+15May 30, 2020 — L vs Casey Kenney Δ-19Dec 5, 2020 — W vs Jose Quinonez Δ+20Dec 4, 2021 — L vs Vince Morales Δ-22May 14, 2022 — L vs Davey Grant Δ-21 14251450147515001525155015751600 2016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":294.6,"elo":1488,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Alptekin Ozkilic","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":117.2,"y":342.5,"elo":1462,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Chris Cariaso","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":160.1,"y":283.1,"elo":1494,"date":"2014-11-07","opp":"Richie Vaculik","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":218.3,"y":230.8,"elo":1523,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Neil Seery","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":243.2,"y":172.8,"elo":1555,"date":"2015-10-24","opp":"Paddy Holohan","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":305.5,"y":142.7,"elo":1571,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Ben Nguyen","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":324.4,"y":187.1,"elo":1547,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":7,"x":345.7,"y":220.9,"elo":1528,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Ray Borg","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":370.8,"y":259.7,"elo":1507,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Tim Elliott","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":9,"x":432.1,"y":287.9,"elo":1492,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":510,"y":257.7,"elo":1508,"date":"2018-11-24","opp":"Sumudaerji","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":534.9,"y":295.5,"elo":1488,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Matt Schnell","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":579.6,"y":267.7,"elo":1503,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Ryan MacDonald","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":641,"y":302.7,"elo":1484,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Casey Kenney","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":14,"x":685.7,"y":266.5,"elo":1504,"date":"2020-12-05","opp":"Jose Quinonez","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":15,"x":771.9,"y":306.5,"elo":1482,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Vince Morales","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":16,"x":810,"y":344.4,"elo":1461,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 14, 2022 Davey Grant L -21
Dec 4, 2021 Vince Morales L -22
Dec 5, 2020 Jose Quinonez W +20
May 30, 2020 Casey Kenney L -19
Sep 14, 2019 Ryan MacDonald W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
6 / 8
Finish rate
KO
4
50% of wins
SUB
2
25% of wins
DEC
2
25% of wins
KO: 4 (50%) 4 Sub: 2 (25%) 2 Dec: 2 (25%) 2
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
1 17%
R2
4 67%
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 747 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
61% Distance
  • Distance 61%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 28%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
56%
of losses by finish
5 of 9 · usually R1
2 KO/TKO 3 Sub 4 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1503
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ben Nguyen
Elo 1561 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
9.2
−1.2 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 17 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1531
1482

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1679
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1661
Umar Nurmagomedov
#3 · Elo 1649
Sean O'Malley
#4 · Elo 1632
Farid Basharat
#5 · Elo 1630
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Louis Smolka on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.