HonestElo
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Jordan Espinosa

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1474 ±34
LCB 1430
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Mar 6, 2021
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Mar 23, 2019 — W vs Eric Shelton Δ+28Aug 3, 2019 — L vs Matt Schnell Δ-31Jan 25, 2020 — L vs Alex Perez Δ-25Jun 13, 2020 — W vs Mark De La Rosa Δ+27Sep 19, 2020 — L vs David Dvorak Δ-26Mar 6, 2021 — L vs Tim Elliott Δ-17 14161454149215301568 20202021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":79.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2019-03-23","opp":"Eric Shelton","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":182.7,"y":123.7,"elo":1496,"date":"2019-08-03","opp":"Matt Schnell","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":391.5,"y":158.4,"elo":1471,"date":"2020-01-25","opp":"Alex Perez","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":558.6,"y":120.3,"elo":1499,"date":"2020-06-13","opp":"Mark De La Rosa","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":675.5,"y":157,"elo":1472,"date":"2020-09-19","opp":"David Dvorak","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":180.2,"elo":1456,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Tim Elliott","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 6, 2021 Tim Elliott L -17
Sep 19, 2020 David Dvorak L -26
Jun 13, 2020 Mark De La Rosa W +27
Jan 25, 2020 Alex Perez L -25
Aug 3, 2019 Matt Schnell L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.47 avg 3.37
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.29 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.64 avg 1.57
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
58% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.75
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.9
actual -1 vs expected