Other bouts 12
- 2lightweightBeneil DariushvsQuillan Salkilld
- 3flyweightTim ElliottvsSteve Erceg
- 4Not linkedfeatherweightMarwan RahikivsOllie Schmid
- 5heavyweightShamil GazievvsBrando Pericic
- 6heavyweightTai TuivasavsLouie Sutherland
- 7middleweightCam RowstonvsRobert Bryczek
- 8light heavyweightJunior TafavsKevin Christian
- 9middleweightJacob MalkounvsGerald Meerschaert
- 10bantamweightColby ThicknessevsVince Morales
- 11Not linkedmiddleweightBen JohnstonvsWes Schultz
- 12welterweightJonathan MicallefvsThemba Gorimbo
- 13lightweightDom Mar FanvsKody Steele
Honest Elo Meter pre-fight: Jack Della Maddalena 55.3% · Carlos Prates 44.7%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 10
Notable
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
Finishes 100% of wins (7 KO; 43% of wins end in round 1).
6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Reach advantage of ~5".
Tale of the tape
| 8-2-0 | UFC record | 7-1-0 |
| KO 4 · Sub 1 | Finishes | KO 7 · Sub 0 |
| -2 | Streak | +3 |
| 29 | Age | 33 |
| 5'11" 180 cm | Height | 6'1" 185 cm |
| 73" 185 cm | Reach | 78" 198 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Switch |
| 1675 | Global Elo | 1679 |
| 1632 | Elo rating | 1645 |
Jack Della Maddalena — Notable ▼
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 63% of wins by KO or submission
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
Carlos Prates — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak
- Top 5 · welterweightTakedown Accuracy
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith100%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai60%
- 5Seokhyeon Ko59%
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Has never been finished — durability signal
Jack Della Maddalena — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 600 landed total · career
- Head 64%
- Body 26%
- Leg 10%
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 9%
- Ground 6%
Carlos Prates — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 339 landed total · career
- Head 60%
- Body 18%
- Leg 22%
- Distance 91%
- Clinch 1%
- Ground 9%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Carlos Leal8.75
- 2Daniil Donchenko8.07
- 3Daniel Rodriguez7.18
- 4Max Holloway6.92
- 5Jacobe Smith6.85
- 1Kiefer Crosbie64%
- 2Jacobe Smith63%
- 3Daniil Donchenko62%
- 4Chidi Njokuani62%
- 5Gunnar Nelson61%
- 1Islam Makhachev1.42
- 2Jeremiah Wells1.43
- 3Seokhyeon Ko1.47
- 4Michael Page1.57
- 5Michael Chiesa1.73
- 1Daniil Donchenko70%
- 2Seokhyeon Ko65%
- 3Gabriel Bonfim64%
- 4Muslim Salikhov62%
- 5Michael Page62%
- 1Myktybek Orolbai8.22
- 2Themba Gorimbo4.52
- 3Jacobe Smith4.52
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov3.91
- 5Colby Covington3.64
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith100%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai60%
- 5Seokhyeon Ko59%
- 1Jacobe Smith100%
- 2Charles Radtke100%
- 3Kevin Jousset100%
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov92%
- 5Islam Makhachev91%
- 1Preston Parsons2.31
- 2Mickey Gall1.58
- 3Ramiz Brahimaj1.44
- 4Jeremiah Wells1.31
- 5Shavkat Rakhmonov1.20
- 1Seokhyeon Ko8.40
- 2Rinat Fakhretdinov8.11
- 3Myktybek Orolbai8.08
- 4Themba Gorimbo7.92
- 5Charles Radtke7.71
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Jack Della Maddalena has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1699 vs 1671, 4 quality wins to 4.
- May 2, 2026
- Nov 15, 2025
- May 10, 2025
- Mar 9, 2024
- Sep 16, 2023
- May 2, 2026
- Nov 15, 2025
- Aug 16, 2025
- Apr 26, 2025
- Nov 9, 2024