HonestElo
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Danny Roberts

Inactive · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1517 ±37
LCB 1470
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-3
Δ90d +15 · Δ1y +15
Last fight
Jul 22, 2023
L by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Dec 10, 2015 — W vs Nathan Coy Δ+33Apr 23, 2016 — W vs Dominique Steele Δ+27Oct 8, 2016 — L vs Mike Perry Δ-35Jul 16, 2017 — W vs Bobby Nash Δ+28Dec 16, 2017 — L vs Nordine Taleb Δ-30Mar 17, 2018 — W vs Oliver Enkamp Δ+16Jul 22, 2018 — W vs David Zawada Δ+14Mar 16, 2019 — L vs Claudio Silva Δ-16May 18, 2019 — L vs Michel Pereira Δ-20Nov 9, 2019 — W vs Zelim Imadaev Δ+16Oct 16, 2021 — W vs Ramazan Emeev Δ+19May 7, 2022 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-12Nov 19, 2022 — L vs Jack Della Maddalena Δ-17Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Jonny Parsons Δ-20 14631497153115651600 2017201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":126.9,"elo":1533,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Nathan Coy","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":65.4,"y":85.8,"elo":1560,"date":"2016-04-23","opp":"Dominique Steele","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":116.8,"y":140.5,"elo":1524,"date":"2016-10-08","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":3,"x":202.9,"y":97.6,"elo":1552,"date":"2017-07-16","opp":"Bobby Nash","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":249.8,"y":144.5,"elo":1522,"date":"2017-12-16","opp":"Nordine Taleb","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":277.7,"y":119.8,"elo":1538,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Oliver Enkamp","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":316.6,"y":97.7,"elo":1552,"date":"2018-07-22","opp":"David Zawada","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":389.2,"y":122.9,"elo":1536,"date":"2019-03-16","opp":"Claudio Silva","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":408.5,"y":154.3,"elo":1515,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":462.1,"y":129.5,"elo":1531,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Zelim Imadaev","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":678.7,"y":100,"elo":1551,"date":"2021-10-16","opp":"Ramazan Emeev","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":740.9,"y":118.3,"elo":1539,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":12,"x":800.9,"y":144.1,"elo":1522,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Jack Della Maddalena","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":174.2,"elo":1503,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Jonny Parsons","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 22, 2023 Jonny Parsons L -20
Nov 19, 2022 Jack Della Maddalena L -17
May 7, 2022 Francisco Trinaldo L -12
Oct 16, 2021 Ramazan Emeev W +19
Nov 9, 2019 Zelim Imadaev W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.79 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.27 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.21 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
10% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
57% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.21 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
57%
4 / 7
Finish rate
KO
3
43% of wins
SUB
1
14% of wins
DEC
3
43% of wins
KO: 3 (43%) 3 Sub: 1 (14%) 1 Dec: 3 (43%) 3
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
2 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1557
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.0
actual 0 vs expected