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Danny Roberts "Hot Chocolate"

Inactive · age 38 · Southpaw · 6'1" 185 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 57% of wins by KO or submission
Elo rating
1471
Global Elo 1517 ±36
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-3
Δ90d +15 · Δ1y +15
Last fight
Jul 22, 2023
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 7m
Avg fight time
9:05
Bonuses
6
Fights per year
1.8
Since last fight
2y 11mo

Honest Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Dec 10, 2015 — W vs Nathan Coy Δ+33Apr 23, 2016 — W vs Dominique Steele Δ+27Oct 8, 2016 — L vs Mike Perry Δ-35Jul 16, 2017 — W vs Bobby Nash Δ+28Dec 16, 2017 — L vs Nordine Taleb Δ-30Mar 17, 2018 — W vs Oliver Enkamp Δ+16Jul 22, 2018 — W vs David Zawada Δ+14Mar 16, 2019 — L vs Claudio Silva Δ-16May 18, 2019 — L vs Michel Pereira Δ-20Nov 9, 2019 — W vs Zelim Imadaev Δ+16Oct 16, 2021 — W vs Ramazan Emeev Δ+19May 7, 2022 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-12Nov 19, 2022 — L vs Jack Della Maddalena Δ-17Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Jonny Parsons Δ-20 1440146014801500152015401560 2017201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":245.7,"elo":1502,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Nathan Coy","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":125,"y":174.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2016-04-23","opp":"Dominique Steele","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":168.4,"y":269.2,"elo":1493,"date":"2016-10-08","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":3,"x":241.2,"y":195.1,"elo":1521,"date":"2017-07-16","opp":"Bobby Nash","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":280.8,"y":276.1,"elo":1490,"date":"2017-12-16","opp":"Nordine Taleb","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":304.4,"y":233.5,"elo":1506,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Oliver Enkamp","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":337.2,"y":195.3,"elo":1521,"date":"2018-07-22","opp":"David Zawada","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":398.6,"y":238.8,"elo":1504,"date":"2019-03-16","opp":"Claudio Silva","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":414.9,"y":292.9,"elo":1484,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":460.2,"y":250.3,"elo":1500,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Zelim Imadaev","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":643.3,"y":199.3,"elo":1519,"date":"2021-10-16","opp":"Ramazan Emeev","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":695.8,"y":230.8,"elo":1507,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":12,"x":746.6,"y":275.3,"elo":1491,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Jack Della Maddalena","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":810,"y":327.3,"elo":1471,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Jonny Parsons","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 22, 2023 Jonny Parsons L -20
Nov 19, 2022 Jack Della Maddalena L -17
May 7, 2022 Francisco Trinaldo L -12
Oct 16, 2021 Ramazan Emeev W +19
Nov 9, 2019 Zelim Imadaev W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
57%
4 / 7
Finish rate
KO
3
43% of wins
SUB
1
14% of wins
DEC
3
43% of wins
KO: 3 (43%) 3 Sub: 1 (14%) 1 Dec: 3 (43%) 3
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
2 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 405 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
65% Distance
  • Distance 65%
  • Clinch 20%
  • Ground 15%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
86%
of losses by finish
6 of 7 · usually R1
5 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1557
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ramazan Emeev
Elo 1598 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.0
−0.1 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 14 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1500

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Danny Roberts on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.