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Junior Tafa won · by KO
Final result · recorded May 2, 2026
Junior Tafa
defeated Kevin Christian by KO

Honest Elo Meter pre-fight: Junior Tafa 40.8% · Kevin Christian 59.2%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Tale of the tape

3-6-0 UFC record 0-2-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
-1 Streak -2
29 Age 31
6'3" 191 cm Height 6'7" 201 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 80" 203 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1455 Global Elo 1467
1406 Elo rating 1441
Junior Tafa — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 67% of wins finished in round 1
  • 88% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Kevin Christian — Notable

Junior Tafa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 200 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
  • Head 80%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 3%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 10%

Kevin Christian — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 27 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Leg
  • Head 7%
  • Body 30%
  • Leg 63%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
100% Distance
  • Distance 100%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.53
4.32
div avg 4.68
52%
71%
div avg 51%
2.70
6.08
div avg 4.34
52%
30%
div avg 49%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.23
0%
div avg 37%
73%
div avg 75%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.61
0
0
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Junior Tafa
100% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Kevin Christian
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Kevin Christian
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Junior Tafa
finished 83%
5 of 6 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1500 (Junior Tafa) vs 1477 (Kevin Christian).

Junior Tafa red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1500
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Parker Porter
Elo 1512 at fight time
Expected wins
4.1
−1.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights
1533
1554
Kevin Christian blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1477
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
Expected wins
1.0
−1.0 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1504
1450

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    L
    Submission
    Submission
    Jan 31, 2026
    Nov 1, 2025
Corner A recent form
Junior Tafa
Corner B recent form
Kevin Christian
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Junior Tafa & Kevin Christian on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.