Other bouts 12
- 1welterweight MainJack Della MaddalenavsCarlos Prates
- 2lightweightBeneil DariushvsQuillan Salkilld
- 3flyweightTim ElliottvsSteve Erceg
- 4Not linkedfeatherweightMarwan RahikivsOllie Schmid
- 5heavyweightShamil GazievvsBrando Pericic
- 6heavyweightTai TuivasavsLouie Sutherland
- 7middleweightCam RowstonvsRobert Bryczek
- 8light heavyweightJunior TafavsKevin Christian
- 9middleweightJacob MalkounvsGerald Meerschaert
- 10bantamweightColby ThicknessevsVince Morales
- 11Not linkedmiddleweightBen JohnstonvsWes Schultz
- 13lightweightDom Mar FanvsKody Steele
Honest Elo Meter pre-fight: Jonathan Micallef 51.8% · Themba Gorimbo 48.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 10
Tale of the tape
| 3-0-0 | UFC record | 4-4-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 1 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| +3 | Streak | -3 |
| 27 | Age | 35 |
| 6'0" 183 cm | Height | 6'1" 185 cm |
| 77" 196 cm | Reach | 77" 196 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1594 | Global Elo | 1537 |
| 1568 | Elo rating | 1488 |
Jonathan Micallef — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
Themba Gorimbo — Notable ▼
- 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- Top 5 · welterweightTakedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Myktybek Orolbai8.22
- 2Themba Gorimbo4.52
- 3Jacobe Smith4.52
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov3.91
- 5Colby Covington3.64
- Top 5 · welterweightTakedown Accuracy
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith100%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai60%
- 5Seokhyeon Ko59%
- Top 5 · welterweightControl Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Seokhyeon Ko8.40
- 2Rinat Fakhretdinov8.11
- 3Myktybek Orolbai8.08
- 4Themba Gorimbo7.92
- 5Charles Radtke7.71
Jonathan Micallef — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 159 landed total · career
- Head 65%
- Body 29%
- Leg 6%
- Distance 91%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 1%
Themba Gorimbo — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 224 landed total · career
- Head 52%
- Body 31%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 55%
- Clinch 25%
- Ground 20%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Carlos Leal8.75
- 2Daniil Donchenko8.07
- 3Daniel Rodriguez7.18
- 4Max Holloway6.92
- 5Jacobe Smith6.85
- 1Kiefer Crosbie64%
- 2Jacobe Smith63%
- 3Daniil Donchenko62%
- 4Chidi Njokuani62%
- 5Gunnar Nelson61%
- 1Islam Makhachev1.42
- 2Jeremiah Wells1.43
- 3Seokhyeon Ko1.47
- 4Michael Page1.57
- 5Michael Chiesa1.73
- 1Daniil Donchenko70%
- 2Seokhyeon Ko65%
- 3Gabriel Bonfim64%
- 4Muslim Salikhov62%
- 5Michael Page62%
- 1Myktybek Orolbai8.22
- 2Themba Gorimbo4.52
- 3Jacobe Smith4.52
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov3.91
- 5Colby Covington3.64
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith100%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai60%
- 5Seokhyeon Ko59%
- 1Jacobe Smith100%
- 2Charles Radtke100%
- 3Kevin Jousset100%
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov92%
- 5Islam Makhachev91%
- 1Preston Parsons2.31
- 2Mickey Gall1.58
- 3Ramiz Brahimaj1.44
- 4Jeremiah Wells1.31
- 5Shavkat Rakhmonov1.20
- 1Seokhyeon Ko8.40
- 2Rinat Fakhretdinov8.11
- 3Myktybek Orolbai8.08
- 4Themba Gorimbo7.92
- 5Charles Radtke7.71
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Themba Gorimbo has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1572 vs 1544, 0 quality wins to 0.
- May 2, 2026
- Jan 31, 2026
- Feb 8, 2025
- May 2, 2026
- Nov 1, 2025
- Dec 7, 2024
- Oct 12, 2024
- May 18, 2024