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✓ Louie Sutherland won · by Decision · R3
heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
May 2, 2026 · Perth, Western Australia, Australia
View full event card
Corner A
Tai Tuivasa
#31 8-10-0
Elo 1454
VS
Corner B
Louie Sutherland
#38 1-2-0
Elo 1432
Final result · recorded May 2, 2026
Louie Sutherland
defeated Tai Tuivasa by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo Meter pre-fight: Tai Tuivasa 55.0% · Louie Sutherland 45.0%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates Main event · welterweight Beneil Dariush vs Quillan Salkilld lightweight Tim Elliott vs Steve Erceg flyweight Shamil Gaziev vs Brando Pericic heavyweight Cam Rowston vs Robert Bryczek middleweight Junior Tafa vs Kevin Christian light heavyweight Jacob Malkoun vs Gerald Meerschaert middleweight Colby Thicknesse vs Vince Morales bantamweight Jonathan Micallef vs Themba Gorimbo welterweight Dom Mar Fan vs Kody Steele lightweight

Tale of the tape

8-10-0 UFC record 1-2-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
-7 Streak +1
33 Age 32
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 76" 193 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1497 Global Elo 1480
1454 Elo rating 1432
Tai Tuivasa — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 7-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 88% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 63% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2017
Louie Sutherland — Notable ▼
At a glance

Tai Tuivasa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 491 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 5%

Louie Sutherland — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 33 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 6%
  • Leg 30%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
52% Distance
  • Distance 52%
  • Clinch 18%
  • Ground 30%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.37
1.81
div avg 4.16
49%
69%
div avg 50%
4.61
2.03
div avg 4.13
43%
30%
div avg 50%
0.00
4.95
div avg 1.53
0%
43%
div avg 38%
59%
0%
div avg 72%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.42
2
10
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Tai Tuivasa
88% finish rate
KO 7 · Sub 0
can finish?
Louie Sutherland
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Louie Sutherland
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Tai Tuivasa
finished 60%
6 of 10 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1562 (Tai Tuivasa) vs 1539 (Louie Sutherland).

Tai Tuivasa red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1562
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Derrick Lewis
Elo 1675 at fight time
Expected wins
8.7
−0.7 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 18 fights
1461
1446
Notable wins
Derrick Lewis 1675 Andrei Arlovski 1611
Louie Sutherland blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1539
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tai Tuivasa
Elo 1516 at fight time
Expected wins
1.2
−0.2 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1568
1516
Corner A recent form
Tai Tuivasa
Corner B recent form
Louie Sutherland
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Tai Tuivasa & Louie Sutherland on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.