HonestElo
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✓ Louie Sutherland won · by Decision · R3
heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
May 2, 2026 · Perth, Western Australia, Australia
View full event card
Corner A
Tai Tuivasa
#32 8-10-0
Elo 1453
VS
Corner B
Louie Sutherland
#43 1-3-0
Elo 1403
Final result · recorded May 2, 2026
Louie Sutherland
defeated Tai Tuivasa by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo Meter pre-fight: Tai Tuivasa 55.0% · Louie Sutherland 45.0%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates Main event · welterweight Beneil Dariush vs Quillan Salkilld lightweight Tim Elliott vs Steve Erceg flyweight Shamil Gaziev vs Brando Pericic heavyweight Cam Rowston vs Robert Bryczek middleweight Junior Tafa vs Kevin Christian light heavyweight Jacob Malkoun vs Gerald Meerschaert middleweight Colby Thicknesse vs Vince Morales bantamweight Jonathan Micallef vs Themba Gorimbo welterweight Dom Mar Fan vs Kody Steele lightweight

Notable

Tuivasa

Finishes 88% of wins (7 KO; 63% of wins end in round 1).

Tuivasa

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Form

Both enter off a loss (May 2026 / Aug 2026).

Tale of the tape

8-10-0 UFC record 1-3-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
-7 Streak -1
33 Age 32
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 76" 193 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1496 Global Elo 1449
1453 Elo rating 1403
Tai Tuivasa — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 7-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 88% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 63% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2017
Louie Sutherland — Notable ▼
At a glance

Tai Tuivasa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 491 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 5%

Louie Sutherland — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 36 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 6%
  • Leg 33%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
56% Distance
  • Distance 56%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 28%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.37
1.80
div avg 4.91
49%
69%
div avg 53%
4.61
1.95
div avg 3.51
43%
35%
div avg 51%
0.00
4.49
div avg 1.67
0%
40%
div avg 39%
59%
33%
div avg 74%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.72
2
9
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Tai Tuivasa
88% finish rate
KO 7 · Sub 0
can finish?
Louie Sutherland
finished 100%
3 of 3 losses
Louie Sutherland
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Tai Tuivasa
finished 60%
6 of 10 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Tai Tuivasa has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1562 vs 1529, 2 quality wins to 0.

Tai Tuivasa red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1562
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Derrick Lewis
Elo 1675 at fight time
Expected wins
8.7
−0.7 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 18 fights
1461
1446
Notable wins
Derrick Lewis 1675 Andrei Arlovski 1612
Louie Sutherland blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1529
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tai Tuivasa
Elo 1515 at fight time
Expected wins
1.7
−0.7 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1568
1500
Corner A recent form
Tai Tuivasa
Corner B recent form
Louie Sutherland
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Tai Tuivasa & Louie Sutherland on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.