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Jack Marshman

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1485 ±37
LCB 1438
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +20 · Δ1y +20
Last fight
Oct 31, 2020
L by Decision

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Magnus Cedenblad Δ+42Feb 19, 2017 — L vs Thiago Santos Δ-33Jul 16, 2017 — W vs Ryan Janes Δ+28Oct 28, 2017 — L vs Antonio Carlos Junior Δ-30Nov 3, 2018 — L vs Karl Roberson Δ-29Mar 16, 2019 — W vs John Phillips Δ+14Jul 6, 2019 — L vs Edmen Shahbazyan Δ-15Oct 31, 2020 — L vs Sean Strickland Δ-10 14261465150415431582 2017201820192020 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":78.4,"elo":1542,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Magnus Cedenblad","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":1,"x":78.4,"y":123.9,"elo":1508,"date":"2017-02-19","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":165.2,"y":86.2,"elo":1536,"date":"2017-07-16","opp":"Ryan Janes","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":226.7,"y":126.9,"elo":1506,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Antonio Carlos Junior","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":445.9,"y":166.5,"elo":1477,"date":"2018-11-03","opp":"Karl Roberson","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":524.4,"y":147.3,"elo":1491,"date":"2019-03-16","opp":"John Phillips","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":590.6,"y":167.6,"elo":1476,"date":"2019-07-06","opp":"Edmen Shahbazyan","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":181.6,"elo":1466,"date":"2020-10-31","opp":"Sean Strickland","result":"L","delta":-10}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 31, 2020 Sean Strickland L -10
Jul 6, 2019 Edmen Shahbazyan L -15
Mar 16, 2019 John Phillips W +14
Nov 3, 2018 Karl Roberson L -29
Oct 28, 2017 Antonio Carlos Junior L -30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.49 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
26% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.80 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
20% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1534
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.6
actual -1 vs expected