HonestElo
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Brunno Ferreira

Active #34 middleweight
Elo rating
1562 ±35
LCB 1517
Rank
#34
top 41% of division
UFC record
6-3-0
KO 3 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d -15 · Δ1y +17
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
L by KO

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ+42Jul 1, 2023 — L vs Nursulton Ruziboev Δ-37Jan 13, 2024 — W vs Phil Hawes Δ+36Jun 8, 2024 — W vs Dustin Stoltzfus Δ+25Oct 26, 2024 — L vs Abus Magomedov Δ-37Mar 8, 2025 — W vs Armen Petrosyan Δ+17Jul 19, 2025 — W vs Jackson Mcvey Δ+16Dec 6, 2025 — W vs Marvin Vettori Δ+16Mar 7, 2026 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-15 14651503154115791618 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":128.8,"elo":1542,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":1,"x":144.2,"y":180.4,"elo":1505,"date":"2023-07-01","opp":"Nursulton Ruziboev","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":2,"x":290.6,"y":130.6,"elo":1541,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Phil Hawes","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":400.3,"y":96.3,"elo":1566,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Dustin Stoltzfus","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":504.9,"y":148.4,"elo":1528,"date":"2024-10-26","opp":"Abus Magomedov","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":5,"x":604.2,"y":124.2,"elo":1546,"date":"2025-03-08","opp":"Armen Petrosyan","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":703.5,"y":102,"elo":1562,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Jackson Mcvey","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":808,"y":79.6,"elo":1578,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":101,"elo":1562,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Gregory Rodrigues L -15
Dec 6, 2025 Marvin Vettori W +16
Jul 19, 2025 Jackson Mcvey W +16
Mar 8, 2025 Armen Petrosyan W +17
Oct 26, 2024 Abus Magomedov L -37

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.00 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.20 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.07 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
24% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
59% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.64 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
83%
5 / 6
Finish rate
KO
3
50% of wins
SUB
2
33% of wins
DEC
1
17% of wins
KO: 3 (50%) 3 Sub: 2 (33%) 2 Dec: 1 (17%) 1
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
4 80%
R2
1 20%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1545
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.6
actual +1 vs expected