HonestElo
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Michael Trizano

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1530 ±42
LCB 1476
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d +2 · Δ1y +2
Last fight
Nov 12, 2022
W by KO

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Jul 6, 2018 — W vs Joe Giannetti Δ+36Nov 10, 2018 — W vs Luis Pena Δ+29May 18, 2019 — L vs Grant Dawson Δ-37May 8, 2021 — W vs Ludovit Klein Δ+30Feb 5, 2022 — L vs Hakeem Dawodu Δ-27Jun 4, 2022 — L vs Lucas Almeida Δ-20Nov 12, 2022 — W vs SeungWoo Choi Δ+18 14711504153815711605 2019202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":132.6,"elo":1536,"date":"2018-07-06","opp":"Joe Giannetti","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":92.1,"y":87.3,"elo":1565,"date":"2018-11-10","opp":"Luis Pena","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":193.3,"y":145.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Grant Dawson","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":579.7,"y":98.9,"elo":1557,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Ludovit Klein","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":726,"y":141,"elo":1531,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Hakeem Dawodu","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":789.7,"y":172.7,"elo":1511,"date":"2022-06-04","opp":"Lucas Almeida","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":144.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"SeungWoo Choi","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 12, 2022 SeungWoo Choi W +18
Jun 4, 2022 Lucas Almeida L -20
Feb 5, 2022 Hakeem Dawodu L -27
May 8, 2021 Ludovit Klein W +30
May 18, 2019 Grant Dawson L -37

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.36 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
54% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.07 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.33 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
67% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.50 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1529
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.6
actual 0 vs expected