HonestElo
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Jason Saggo

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1526 ±39
LCB 1475
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Sep 16, 2017
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jun 14, 2014 — W vs Josh Shockley Δ+33Oct 4, 2014 — L vs Paul Felder Δ-31Mar 5, 2016 — W vs Justin Salas Δ+33Jun 18, 2016 — W vs Leandro Silva Δ+30Dec 10, 2016 — L vs Rustam Khabilov Δ-27Sep 16, 2017 — L vs Gilbert Burns Δ-17 14621497153315691605 201520162017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":129.9,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-06-14","opp":"Josh Shockley","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":104.2,"y":176.7,"elo":1502,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":475.1,"y":127.3,"elo":1535,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Justin Salas","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":550.2,"y":83.3,"elo":1565,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Leandro Silva","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":675.5,"y":123.5,"elo":1537,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Rustam Khabilov","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":148.5,"elo":1521,"date":"2017-09-16","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 16, 2017 Gilbert Burns L -17
Dec 10, 2016 Rustam Khabilov L -27
Jun 18, 2016 Leandro Silva W +30
Mar 5, 2016 Justin Salas W +33
Oct 4, 2014 Paul Felder L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.48 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.91 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.31 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
23% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
2
67% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 2 (67%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1540
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.0
actual 0 vs expected