HonestElo
← welterweight

Michel Prazeres

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1587 ±36
LCB 1540
Rank
UFC record
10-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 7
Streak
-2
Δ90d -8 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Jun 26, 2021
L by Submission

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
May 18, 2013 — L vs Paulo Thiago Δ-26Sep 21, 2013 — W vs Jesse Ronson Δ+31Mar 23, 2014 — W vs Mairbek Taisumov Δ+31Feb 14, 2015 — L vs Kevin Lee Δ-29Nov 21, 2015 — W vs Valmir Lazaro Δ+29Jul 23, 2016 — W vs JC Cottrell Δ+14Sep 24, 2016 — W vs Gilbert Burns Δ+18Mar 11, 2017 — W vs Joshua Burkman Δ+14Sep 2, 2017 — W vs Mads Burnell Δ+14Feb 3, 2018 — W vs Desmond Green Δ+12May 19, 2018 — W vs Zak Cummings Δ+16Nov 17, 2018 — W vs Bartosz Fabinski Δ+16Feb 23, 2019 — L vs Ismail Naurdiev Δ-22Jun 26, 2021 — L vs Shavkat Rakhmonov Δ-22 14341495155716181679 2015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":201.4,"elo":1474,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Paulo Thiago","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":60.3,"y":174.7,"elo":1505,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Jesse Ronson","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":112.9,"y":148.1,"elo":1536,"date":"2014-03-23","opp":"Mairbek Taisumov","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":207.3,"y":173.3,"elo":1506,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Kevin Lee","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":287.9,"y":148.4,"elo":1535,"date":"2015-11-21","opp":"Valmir Lazaro","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":358.4,"y":136,"elo":1550,"date":"2016-07-23","opp":"JC Cottrell","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":376.5,"y":120.8,"elo":1567,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":424.8,"y":108.8,"elo":1581,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Joshua Burkman","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":475.2,"y":96.6,"elo":1595,"date":"2017-09-02","opp":"Mads Burnell","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":519.5,"y":86.1,"elo":1607,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Desmond Green","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":10,"x":549.7,"y":72.6,"elo":1623,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Zak Cummings","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":602.1,"y":58.6,"elo":1639,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Bartosz Fabinski","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":630.3,"y":77.6,"elo":1617,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Ismail Naurdiev","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":96.9,"elo":1595,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Shavkat Rakhmonov","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 26, 2021 Shavkat Rakhmonov L -22
Feb 23, 2019 Ismail Naurdiev L -22
Nov 17, 2018 Bartosz Fabinski W +16
May 19, 2018 Zak Cummings W +16
Feb 3, 2018 Desmond Green W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.20 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.32 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.65 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
48% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.57 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
30%
3 / 10
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
30% of wins
DEC
7
70% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (30%) 3 Dec: 7 (70%) 7
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1547
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.6
actual +2 vs expected