HonestElo
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Jailton Almeida

Elo rating
1641 ±37
LCB 1593
Rank
#7
top 12% of division
UFC record
8-3-0
KO 3 · Sub 4 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d -24 · Δ1y -40
Last fight
Feb 7, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Feb 5, 2022 — W vs Danilo Marques Δ+35May 21, 2022 — W vs Parker Porter Δ+34Sep 10, 2022 — W vs Anton Turkalj Δ+27Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Shamil Abdurakhimov Δ+26May 13, 2023 — W vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Δ+32Nov 4, 2023 — W vs Derrick Lewis Δ+15Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Curtis Blaydes Δ-18Jun 1, 2024 — W vs Alexandr Romanov Δ+16Jan 18, 2025 — W vs Serghei Spivac Δ+15Oct 25, 2025 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-17Feb 7, 2026 — L vs Rizvan Kuniev Δ-24 14951551160816651722 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":198.6,"elo":1535,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Danilo Marques","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":1,"x":85.1,"y":166.5,"elo":1569,"date":"2022-05-21","opp":"Parker Porter","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":150.4,"y":141.7,"elo":1596,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Anton Turkalj","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":227.8,"y":117.5,"elo":1622,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Shamil Abdurakhimov","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":293.1,"y":87.8,"elo":1653,"date":"2023-05-13","opp":"Jairzinho Rozenstruik","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":395,"y":74,"elo":1668,"date":"2023-11-04","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":468.3,"y":90.9,"elo":1650,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Curtis Blaydes","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":517.3,"y":75.6,"elo":1666,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Alexandr Romanov","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":651.8,"y":61.4,"elo":1682,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":814.9,"y":77,"elo":1665,"date":"2025-10-25","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":99.1,"elo":1641,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Rizvan Kuniev","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 7, 2026 Rizvan Kuniev L -24
Oct 25, 2025 Alexander Volkov L -17
Jan 18, 2025 Serghei Spivac W +15
Jun 1, 2024 Alexandr Romanov W +16
Mar 9, 2024 Curtis Blaydes L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.07 avg 3.11
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
63% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.15 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
44% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.86 avg 1.15
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
55% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.43 avg 0.27
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
9 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
88%
7 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
4
50% of wins
DEC
1
13% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 4 (50%) 4 Dec: 1 (13%) 1
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
6 86%
R2
1 14%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1608
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.1
actual +2 vs expected