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Alexandr Romanov

Active #10 heavyweight · Southpaw · 188 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1607 ±32
LCB 1565
Rank
#10
top 18% of division
UFC record
7-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 3 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
Nov 2, 2024
W by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Sep 12, 2020 — W vs Roque Martinez Δ+33Nov 7, 2020 — W vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Δ+34Apr 17, 2021 — W vs Juan Espino Δ+29Oct 9, 2021 — W vs Jared Vanderaa Δ+24Apr 30, 2022 — W vs Chase Sherman Δ+16Aug 20, 2022 — L vs Marcin Tybura Δ-18Mar 11, 2023 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-17Jul 1, 2023 — W vs Blagoy Ivanov Δ+12Jun 1, 2024 — L vs Jailton Almeida Δ-16Nov 2, 2024 — W vs Rodrigo Nascimento Δ+15 14931539158416301675 2021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":189.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2020-09-12","opp":"Roque Martinez","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":55.6,"y":150.2,"elo":1567,"date":"2020-11-07","opp":"Marcos Rogerio de Lima","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":146.3,"y":116.9,"elo":1596,"date":"2021-04-17","opp":"Juan Espino","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":244.9,"y":89,"elo":1619,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Jared Vanderaa","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":359.3,"y":70.5,"elo":1635,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Chase Sherman","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":5,"x":422.4,"y":92,"elo":1617,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":536.8,"y":112.2,"elo":1600,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":599.9,"y":98.2,"elo":1612,"date":"2023-07-01","opp":"Blagoy Ivanov","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":8,"x":789.2,"y":117.3,"elo":1595,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Jailton Almeida","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":100.1,"elo":1610,"date":"2024-11-02","opp":"Rodrigo Nascimento","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 2, 2024 Rodrigo Nascimento W +15
Jun 1, 2024 Jailton Almeida L -16
Jul 1, 2023 Blagoy Ivanov W +12
Mar 11, 2023 Alexander Volkov L -17
Aug 20, 2022 Marcin Tybura L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.28 avg 3.07
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.85 avg 2.81
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.90 avg 1.19
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
55% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
29% avg 74%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.75 avg 0.29
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
57%
4 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
3
43% of wins
DEC
3
43% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 3 (43%) 3 Dec: 3 (43%) 3
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
2 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1590
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.5
actual +1 vs expected