HonestElo
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Augusto Sakai

Inactive · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1546 ±36
LCB 1498
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d +2 · Δ1y +2
Last fight
Feb 25, 2023
W by Decision

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Sep 22, 2018 — W vs Chase Sherman Δ+29Apr 27, 2019 — W vs Andrei Arlovski Δ+33Sep 14, 2019 — W vs Marcin Tybura Δ+31May 30, 2020 — W vs Blagoy Ivanov Δ+24Sep 5, 2020 — L vs Alistair Overeem Δ-34Jun 5, 2021 — L vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Δ-17Dec 11, 2021 — L vs Tai Tuivasa Δ-18Aug 6, 2022 — L vs Serghei Spivac Δ-18Feb 25, 2023 — W vs Don'Tale Mayes Δ+15 14881530157216141656 20192020202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":184.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Chase Sherman","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":138.3,"y":143.4,"elo":1561,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":212.1,"y":104.7,"elo":1592,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":348.6,"y":74.7,"elo":1616,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Blagoy Ivanov","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":400.2,"y":118.3,"elo":1581,"date":"2020-09-05","opp":"Alistair Overeem","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":544.1,"y":140,"elo":1564,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Jairzinho Rozenstruik","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":643.6,"y":163.1,"elo":1546,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Tai Tuivasa","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":769,"y":185.3,"elo":1528,"date":"2022-08-06","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":166.3,"elo":1543,"date":"2023-02-25","opp":"Don'Tale Mayes","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 25, 2023 Don'Tale Mayes W +15
Aug 6, 2022 Serghei Spivac L -18
Dec 11, 2021 Tai Tuivasa L -18
Jun 5, 2021 Jairzinho Rozenstruik L -17
Sep 5, 2020 Alistair Overeem L -34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.74 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.74 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.26 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
38% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1568
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.6
actual 0 vs expected