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Marcin Tybura "Tybur"

Active #21 heavyweight · age 40 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 249 lb 113 kg · reach 78" 198 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Aug 1
vs Aleksandar Rakic · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Elo rating
1526
Global Elo 1579 ±41
Rank
#21
top 49% of division
UFC record
14-10-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 · Dec 8
Streak
-2
Δ90d -20 · Δ1y -45
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 24m
Avg fight time
11:01
Bonuses
7
Fights per year
2.4
Ground control
1h 16m
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Apr 10, 2016 — L vs Timothy Johnson Δ-28Aug 6, 2016 — W vs Viktor Pesta Δ+33Mar 4, 2017 — W vs Luis Henrique Δ+36Jun 17, 2017 — W vs Andrei Arlovski Δ+34Nov 18, 2017 — L vs Fabricio Werdum Δ-23Feb 18, 2018 — L vs Derrick Lewis Δ-16Jul 22, 2018 — W vs Stefan Struve Δ+17Apr 20, 2019 — L vs Shamil Abdurakhimov Δ-19Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Augusto Sakai Δ-17Feb 29, 2020 — W vs Serghei Spivac Δ+15Jul 11, 2020 — W vs Maxim Grishin Δ+15Oct 10, 2020 — W vs Ben Rothwell Δ+17Dec 19, 2020 — W vs Greg Hardy Δ+20Jun 5, 2021 — W vs Walt Harris Δ+14Oct 30, 2021 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-15Aug 20, 2022 — W vs Alexandr Romanov Δ+18Feb 4, 2023 — W vs Blagoy Ivanov Δ+13Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Tom Aspinall Δ-17Mar 16, 2024 — W vs Tai Tuivasa Δ+17Aug 10, 2024 — L vs Serghei Spivac Δ-20Nov 16, 2024 — W vs Jhonata Diniz Δ+15Mar 22, 2025 — W vs Mick Parkin Δ+16Sep 6, 2025 — L vs Ante Delija Δ-25Mar 28, 2026 — L vs Tyrell Fortune Δ-20 135014001450150015501600 20182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":322.4,"elo":1418,"date":"2016-04-10","opp":"Timothy Johnson","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":113.3,"y":280.1,"elo":1452,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Viktor Pesta","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":154.9,"y":233.9,"elo":1488,"date":"2017-03-04","opp":"Luis Henrique","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":175.7,"y":190.7,"elo":1521,"date":"2017-06-17","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":206.1,"y":220,"elo":1498,"date":"2017-11-18","opp":"Fabricio Werdum","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":5,"x":224.3,"y":240,"elo":1483,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":254.8,"y":217.9,"elo":1500,"date":"2018-07-22","opp":"Stefan Struve","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":308.6,"y":241.7,"elo":1482,"date":"2019-04-20","opp":"Shamil Abdurakhimov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":337.7,"y":263.4,"elo":1465,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Augusto Sakai","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":371,"y":243.7,"elo":1480,"date":"2020-02-29","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":397.3,"y":225.2,"elo":1494,"date":"2020-07-11","opp":"Maxim Grishin","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":415.3,"y":203.4,"elo":1511,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Ben Rothwell","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":429.1,"y":178.1,"elo":1531,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Greg Hardy","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":462.4,"y":160.5,"elo":1545,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Walt Harris","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":491.5,"y":179.6,"elo":1530,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":15,"x":549.6,"y":156,"elo":1548,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Alexandr Romanov","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":16,"x":582.9,"y":140.2,"elo":1561,"date":"2023-02-04","opp":"Blagoy Ivanov","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":17,"x":616.1,"y":161.8,"elo":1544,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Tom Aspinall","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":663.2,"y":140.6,"elo":1561,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Tai Tuivasa","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":19,"x":692.3,"y":166,"elo":1541,"date":"2024-08-10","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":20,"x":711.7,"y":147.5,"elo":1555,"date":"2024-11-16","opp":"Jhonata Diniz","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":21,"x":736.6,"y":126.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Mick Parkin","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":22,"x":769.8,"y":158.6,"elo":1546,"date":"2025-09-06","opp":"Ante Delija","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":23,"x":810,"y":184.7,"elo":1526,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Tyrell Fortune","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Tyrell Fortune L -20
Sep 6, 2025 Ante Delija L -25
Mar 22, 2025 Mick Parkin W +16
Nov 16, 2024 Jhonata Diniz W +15
Aug 10, 2024 Serghei Spivac L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
36%
5 / 14
Finish rate
KO
4
29% of wins
SUB
1
7% of wins
DEC
8
57% of wins
KO: 4 (31%) 4 Sub: 1 (8%) Dec: 8 (62%) 8
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
3 50%
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 942 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 21%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
60%
of losses by finish
6 of 10 · usually R1
5 KO/TKO 1 Sub 4 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1551
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Alexandr Romanov
Elo 1635 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
12.1
+1.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 24 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1508
1500
Notable wins
Alexandr Romanov 1635 Mick Parkin 1609 Andrei Arlovski 1601

Top heavyweight

See full rankings →
Ciryl Gane IC
#1 · Elo 1691
Alexander Volkov
#2 · Elo 1656
Alex Pereira
#3 · Elo 1655
Tom Aspinall C
#4 · Elo 1654
Sergei Pavlovich
#5 · Elo 1619
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Marcin Tybura on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.