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Jared Vanderaa

Inactive · age 34 · Orthodox · 6'4" 193 cm · 260 lb 118 kg · reach 80" 203 cm
At a glance
  • 5-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Elo rating
1402
Global Elo 1437 ±27
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-5
Δ90d +39 · Δ1y +39
Last fight
Oct 29, 2022
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 21m
Avg fight time
11:35
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
4.2
Since last fight
3y 8mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Feb 20, 2021 — L vs Serghei Spivac Δ-32May 22, 2021 — W vs Justin Tafa Δ+29Oct 9, 2021 — L vs Alexandr Romanov Δ-24Feb 12, 2022 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-19Apr 9, 2022 — L vs Aleksei Oleinik Δ-24Jul 9, 2022 — L vs Chase Sherman Δ-19Oct 29, 2022 — L vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Δ-12 1375140014251450147515001525 2022 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":203.1,"elo":1472,"date":"2021-02-20","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":1,"x":196.4,"y":141,"elo":1501,"date":"2021-05-22","opp":"Justin Tafa","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":360,"y":192,"elo":1477,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Alexandr Romanov","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":507.3,"y":233.6,"elo":1458,"date":"2022-02-12","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":4,"x":572.7,"y":284.6,"elo":1434,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Aleksei Oleinik","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":5,"x":679.1,"y":326.2,"elo":1414,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Chase Sherman","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":351.5,"elo":1402,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Waldo Cortes Acosta","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 29, 2022 Waldo Cortes Acosta L -12
Jul 9, 2022 Chase Sherman L -19
Apr 9, 2022 Aleksei Oleinik L -24
Feb 12, 2022 Andrei Arlovski L -19
Oct 9, 2021 Alexandr Romanov L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 397 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
52% Head
  • Head 52%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 26%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 2%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
4 of 6 · usually R2
3 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1529
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Justin Tafa
Elo 1472 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.0
−1.9 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1508
1500

Top heavyweight

See full rankings →
Ciryl Gane IC
#1 · Elo 1691
Alexander Volkov
#2 · Elo 1656
Alex Pereira
#3 · Elo 1655
Tom Aspinall C
#4 · Elo 1654
Sergei Pavlovich
#5 · Elo 1619
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Jared Vanderaa on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.