HonestElo
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Jared Vanderaa

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 203 cm
Elo rating
1437 ±27
LCB 1402
Rank
UFC record
1-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-5
Δ90d +39 · Δ1y +39
Last fight
Oct 29, 2022
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Feb 20, 2021 — L vs Serghei Spivac Δ-32May 22, 2021 — W vs Justin Tafa Δ+29Oct 9, 2021 — L vs Alexandr Romanov Δ-24Feb 12, 2022 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-19Apr 9, 2022 — L vs Aleksei Oleinik Δ-24Jul 9, 2022 — L vs Chase Sherman Δ-19Oct 29, 2022 — L vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Δ-12 13581403144714921537 2022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":106,"elo":1468,"date":"2021-02-20","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":1,"x":149.9,"y":71.5,"elo":1497,"date":"2021-05-22","opp":"Justin Tafa","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":343.5,"y":99.8,"elo":1473,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Alexandr Romanov","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":517.8,"y":122.9,"elo":1453,"date":"2022-02-12","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":4,"x":595.2,"y":151.3,"elo":1429,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Aleksei Oleinik","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":5,"x":721.1,"y":174.4,"elo":1410,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Chase Sherman","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":188.5,"elo":1398,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Waldo Cortes Acosta","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 29, 2022 Waldo Cortes Acosta L -12
Jul 9, 2022 Chase Sherman L -19
Apr 9, 2022 Aleksei Oleinik L -24
Feb 12, 2022 Andrei Arlovski L -19
Oct 9, 2021 Alexandr Romanov L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.67 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.45 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
45% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
20% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1529
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.0
actual -2 vs expected