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Curtis Blaydes

Active #4 heavyweight · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 203 cm
Elo rating
1678 ±36
LCB 1631
Rank
#4
top 6% of division
UFC record
14-5-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Jun 21, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Apr 10, 2016 — L vs Francis Ngannou Δ-26Oct 1, 2016 — W vs Cody East Δ+32Jul 8, 2017 — W vs Daniel Omielanczuk Δ+30Nov 4, 2017 — W vs Aleksei Oleinik Δ+34Feb 10, 2018 — W vs Mark Hunt Δ+32Jun 9, 2018 — W vs Alistair Overeem Δ+18Nov 24, 2018 — L vs Francis Ngannou Δ-18Mar 23, 2019 — W vs Justin Willis Δ+16Sep 7, 2019 — W vs Shamil Abdurakhimov Δ+16Jan 25, 2020 — W vs Junior Dos Santos Δ+21Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Alexander Volkov Δ+14Feb 20, 2021 — L vs Derrick Lewis Δ-19Sep 25, 2021 — W vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Δ+15Mar 26, 2022 — W vs Chris Daukaus Δ+15Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Tom Aspinall Δ+17Apr 22, 2023 — L vs Sergei Pavlovich Δ-22Mar 9, 2024 — W vs Jailton Almeida Δ+18Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Tom Aspinall Δ-24Jun 21, 2025 — W vs Rizvan Kuniev Δ+9 14341510158516611737 2018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":208,"elo":1474,"date":"2016-04-10","opp":"Francis Ngannou","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":68.1,"y":185.8,"elo":1506,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Cody East","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":139.2,"y":164.8,"elo":1536,"date":"2017-07-08","opp":"Daniel Omielanczuk","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":169.3,"y":141.1,"elo":1570,"date":"2017-11-04","opp":"Aleksei Oleinik","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":194.2,"y":118.9,"elo":1601,"date":"2018-02-10","opp":"Mark Hunt","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":224.4,"y":106.5,"elo":1619,"date":"2018-06-09","opp":"Alistair Overeem","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":267,"y":119.1,"elo":1601,"date":"2018-11-24","opp":"Francis Ngannou","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":297.2,"y":107.7,"elo":1617,"date":"2019-03-23","opp":"Justin Willis","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":339.8,"y":96.6,"elo":1633,"date":"2019-09-07","opp":"Shamil Abdurakhimov","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":375.3,"y":81.9,"elo":1654,"date":"2020-01-25","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":412.6,"y":71.9,"elo":1668,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":474.7,"y":84.9,"elo":1650,"date":"2021-02-20","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":12,"x":529.8,"y":74.6,"elo":1665,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Jairzinho Rozenstruik","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":575.9,"y":64.2,"elo":1680,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Chris Daukaus","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":606.1,"y":52,"elo":1697,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Tom Aspinall","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":675.4,"y":67.1,"elo":1675,"date":"2023-04-22","opp":"Sergei Pavlovich","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":16,"x":757,"y":54.5,"elo":1693,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Jailton Almeida","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":17,"x":792.6,"y":71.1,"elo":1670,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Tom Aspinall","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":64.9,"elo":1678,"date":"2025-06-21","opp":"Rizvan Kuniev","result":"W","delta":9}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 21, 2025 Rizvan Kuniev W +9
Jul 27, 2024 Tom Aspinall L -24
Mar 9, 2024 Jailton Almeida W +18
Apr 22, 2023 Sergei Pavlovich L -22
Jul 23, 2022 Tom Aspinall W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.84 avg 3.09
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.66 avg 2.82
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.91 avg 1.19
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
46% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
32% avg 74%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.32
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
7 / 14
Finish rate
KO
7
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
43% of wins
KO: 7 (54%) 7 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (46%) 6
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
1 13%
R2
6 75%
R3
1 13%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1629
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.9
actual +4 vs expected