HonestElo
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Anton Turkalj

Active #45 light heavyweight
Elo rating
1416 ±20
LCB 1390
Rank
#45
top 96% of division
UFC record
0-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +21
Last fight
Mar 30, 2024
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Sep 10, 2022 — L vs Jailton Almeida Δ-27Mar 11, 2023 — L vs Vitor Petrino Δ-27Sep 9, 2023 — L vs Tyson Pedro Δ-26Mar 30, 2024 — L vs Ibo Aslan Δ-26 13551395143414741513 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":77.5,"elo":1473,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Jailton Almeida","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":1,"x":297.5,"y":113.1,"elo":1447,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Vitor Petrino","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":2,"x":571,"y":148.1,"elo":1421,"date":"2023-09-09","opp":"Tyson Pedro","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":182.5,"elo":1395,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Ibo Aslan","result":"L","delta":-26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 30, 2024 Ibo Aslan L -26
Sep 9, 2023 Tyson Pedro L -26
Mar 11, 2023 Vitor Petrino L -27
Sep 10, 2022 Jailton Almeida L -27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.42 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.65 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.88 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
22% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
17% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1523
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.6
actual -2 vs expected