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Serghei Spivac

Active #15 heavyweight · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1588 ±35
LCB 1543
Rank
#15
top 27% of division
UFC record
9-6-0
KO 3 · Sub 3 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d +13 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Feb 21, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
May 4, 2019 — L vs Walt Harris Δ-35Oct 5, 2019 — W vs Tai Tuivasa Δ+40Feb 29, 2020 — L vs Marcin Tybura Δ-28Jul 18, 2020 — W vs Carlos Felipe Δ+31Feb 20, 2021 — W vs Jared Vanderaa Δ+32Jun 19, 2021 — W vs Aleksei Oleinik Δ+17Sep 4, 2021 — L vs Tom Aspinall Δ-16Mar 5, 2022 — W vs Greg Hardy Δ+19Aug 6, 2022 — W vs Augusto Sakai Δ+18Feb 4, 2023 — W vs Derrick Lewis Δ+21Sep 2, 2023 — L vs Ciryl Gane Δ-14Aug 10, 2024 — W vs Marcin Tybura Δ+20Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Jailton Almeida Δ-15Jun 7, 2025 — L vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Δ-15Feb 21, 2026 — W vs Ante Delija Δ+13 14251480153515901645 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":197.4,"elo":1465,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Walt Harris","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":1,"x":76.8,"y":159.1,"elo":1505,"date":"2019-10-05","opp":"Tai Tuivasa","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":2,"x":127.2,"y":185.9,"elo":1477,"date":"2020-02-29","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":3,"x":175.2,"y":156.2,"elo":1508,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Carlos Felipe","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":249.6,"y":124.9,"elo":1540,"date":"2021-02-20","opp":"Jared Vanderaa","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":290.4,"y":108.1,"elo":1558,"date":"2021-06-19","opp":"Aleksei Oleinik","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":316.8,"y":124,"elo":1541,"date":"2021-09-04","opp":"Tom Aspinall","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":379.2,"y":105.6,"elo":1560,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Greg Hardy","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":432,"y":88.5,"elo":1578,"date":"2022-08-06","opp":"Augusto Sakai","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":494.4,"y":68.1,"elo":1599,"date":"2023-02-04","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":566.4,"y":81.9,"elo":1585,"date":"2023-09-02","opp":"Ciryl Gane","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":684,"y":62.6,"elo":1605,"date":"2024-08-10","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":12,"x":739.2,"y":77.3,"elo":1589,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Jailton Almeida","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":787.2,"y":92.1,"elo":1574,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Waldo Cortes Acosta","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":79.1,"elo":1588,"date":"2026-02-21","opp":"Ante Delija","result":"W","delta":13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 21, 2026 Ante Delija W +13
Jun 7, 2025 Waldo Cortes Acosta L -15
Jan 18, 2025 Jailton Almeida L -15
Aug 10, 2024 Marcin Tybura W +20
Sep 2, 2023 Ciryl Gane L -14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.09 avg 3.08
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.66 avg 2.75
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.31 avg 1.21
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
59% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.41 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
6 / 9
Finish rate
KO
3
33% of wins
SUB
3
33% of wins
DEC
3
33% of wins
KO: 3 (33%) 3 Sub: 3 (33%) 3 Dec: 3 (33%) 3
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
3 50%
R2
3 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1616
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.0
actual +2 vs expected