HonestElo
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Waldo Cortes Acosta

Active #5 heavyweight
Elo rating
1654 ±23
LCB 1624
Rank
#5
top 8% of division
UFC record
10-2-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
+3
Δ90d +19 · Δ1y +50
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
W by KO

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Oct 29, 2022 — W vs Jared Vanderaa Δ+22Nov 19, 2022 — W vs Chase Sherman Δ+21Apr 29, 2023 — L vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Δ-27Aug 26, 2023 — W vs Lukasz Brzeski Δ+27Jan 13, 2024 — W vs Andrei Arlovski Δ+31May 11, 2024 — W vs Robelis Despaigne Δ+14Mar 15, 2025 — W vs Ryan Spann Δ+18Jun 7, 2025 — W vs Serghei Spivac Δ+15Aug 23, 2025 — L vs Sergei Pavlovich Δ-15Nov 1, 2025 — W vs Ante Delija Δ+15Nov 22, 2025 — W vs Shamil Gaziev Δ+16Jan 24, 2026 — W vs Derrick Lewis Δ+19 14751530158516401694 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":191.4,"elo":1522,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Jared Vanderaa","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":1,"x":39.1,"y":170.8,"elo":1543,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Chase Sherman","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":2,"x":155.1,"y":197.3,"elo":1515,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Marcos Rogerio de Lima","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":240.8,"y":171.4,"elo":1542,"date":"2023-08-26","opp":"Lukasz Brzeski","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":341.6,"y":141.7,"elo":1573,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":427.3,"y":128.3,"elo":1587,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Robelis Despaigne","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":649.1,"y":111,"elo":1605,"date":"2025-03-15","opp":"Ryan Spann","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":709.6,"y":96.2,"elo":1620,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":765.1,"y":110.9,"elo":1605,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Sergei Pavlovich","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":815.5,"y":96.2,"elo":1620,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Ante Delija","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":830.6,"y":80.8,"elo":1636,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Shamil Gaziev","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":62.7,"elo":1654,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"W","delta":19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Derrick Lewis W +19
Nov 22, 2025 Shamil Gaziev W +16
Nov 1, 2025 Ante Delija W +15
Aug 23, 2025 Sergei Pavlovich L -15
Jun 7, 2025 Serghei Spivac W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.04 avg 3.01
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.15 avg 2.77
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.43 avg 1.31
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
57% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.11 avg 0.32
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
5 / 10
Finish rate
KO
5
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
50% of wins
KO: 5 (50%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (50%) 5
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
2 40%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1597
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.5
actual +3 vs expected