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Greg Hardy

Inactive · Orthodox · 196 cm · reach 203 cm
Elo rating
1538 ±37
LCB 1490
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-4-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Mar 5, 2022
L by KO

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Apr 27, 2019 — W vs Dmitrii Smoliakov Δ+27Jul 20, 2019 — W vs Juan Adams Δ+31Nov 9, 2019 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-25May 9, 2020 — W vs Yorgan De Castro Δ+29Oct 31, 2020 — W vs Maurice Greene Δ+30Dec 19, 2020 — L vs Marcin Tybura Δ-20Jul 10, 2021 — L vs Tai Tuivasa Δ-20Mar 5, 2022 — L vs Serghei Spivac Δ-19 14871523155915951631 202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":177.4,"elo":1527,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Dmitrii Smoliakov","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":92.6,"y":132.5,"elo":1557,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"Juan Adams","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":184.1,"y":168.9,"elo":1532,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":332.8,"y":126.8,"elo":1561,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Yorgan De Castro","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":475.7,"y":82.6,"elo":1591,"date":"2020-10-31","opp":"Maurice Greene","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":515.8,"y":111.6,"elo":1572,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":681.6,"y":140.2,"elo":1552,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Tai Tuivasa","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":168.1,"elo":1533,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 5, 2022 Serghei Spivac L -19
Jul 10, 2021 Tai Tuivasa L -20
Dec 19, 2020 Marcin Tybura L -20
Oct 31, 2020 Maurice Greene W +30
May 9, 2020 Yorgan De Castro W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.71 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.96 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.21 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
3
75% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 3 (75%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1544
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.2
actual 0 vs expected