HonestElo
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Ciryl Gane

Active #1 heavyweight · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 206 cm
Elo rating
1701 ±32
LCB 1660
Rank
#1
top 1% of division
UFC record
10-2-0
KO 4 · Sub 2 · Dec 4
Streak
+2
Δ90d -7 · Δ1y -7
Last fight
Dec 7, 2024
W by Decision

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Aug 10, 2019 — W vs Raphael Pessoa Δ+33Oct 26, 2019 — W vs Don'Tale Mayes Δ+30Dec 21, 2019 — W vs Tanner Boser Δ+26Dec 12, 2020 — W vs Junior Dos Santos Δ+38Feb 27, 2021 — W vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Δ+28Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Alexander Volkov Δ+15Aug 7, 2021 — W vs Derrick Lewis Δ+24Jan 22, 2022 — L vs Francis Ngannou Δ-18Sep 3, 2022 — W vs Tai Tuivasa Δ+15Mar 4, 2023 — L vs Jon Jones Δ-12Sep 2, 2023 — W vs Serghei Spivac Δ+14Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Alexander Volkov Δ+16 14931557162116841748 20202021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":202.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Raphael Pessoa","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":57.7,"y":177.8,"elo":1563,"date":"2019-10-26","opp":"Don'Tale Mayes","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":82.2,"y":156.4,"elo":1589,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Tanner Boser","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":238.5,"y":125,"elo":1627,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":272.2,"y":101.4,"elo":1655,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Jairzinho Rozenstruik","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":324.3,"y":88.8,"elo":1670,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":342.7,"y":69,"elo":1694,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":7,"x":416.3,"y":83.9,"elo":1676,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Francis Ngannou","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":514.4,"y":71.6,"elo":1691,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Tai Tuivasa","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":594,"y":81.9,"elo":1678,"date":"2023-03-04","opp":"Jon Jones","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":10,"x":673.7,"y":70.1,"elo":1693,"date":"2023-09-02","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":57.3,"elo":1708,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 2024 Alexander Volkov W +16
Sep 2, 2023 Serghei Spivac W +14
Mar 4, 2023 Jon Jones L -12
Sep 3, 2022 Tai Tuivasa W +15
Jan 22, 2022 Francis Ngannou L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.99 avg 3.01
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
61% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.12 avg 2.80
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.67 avg 1.30
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
25% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
44% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.58 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
6 / 10
Finish rate
KO
4
40% of wins
SUB
2
20% of wins
DEC
4
40% of wins
KO: 4 (40%) 4 Sub: 2 (20%) 2 Dec: 4 (40%) 4
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
1 17%
R2
2 33%
R3
3 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1696
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.0
actual +4 vs expected