HonestElo
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Mick Parkin

Active #16 heavyweight
Elo rating
1580 ±29
LCB 1542
Rank
#16
top 29% of division
UFC record
4-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Mar 22, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jul 22, 2023 — W vs Jamal Pogues Δ+31Nov 18, 2023 — W vs Caio Machado Δ+26Mar 23, 2024 — W vs Mohammed Usman Δ+31Jul 27, 2024 — W vs Lukasz Brzeski Δ+21Mar 22, 2025 — L vs Marcin Tybura Δ-29 14911531157016101649 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":182.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Jamal Pogues","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":190.5,"y":147.1,"elo":1557,"date":"2023-11-18","opp":"Caio Machado","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":366.8,"y":106,"elo":1588,"date":"2024-03-23","opp":"Mohammed Usman","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":543,"y":77.7,"elo":1609,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Lukasz Brzeski","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":116.4,"elo":1580,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 22, 2025 Marcin Tybura L -29
Jul 27, 2024 Lukasz Brzeski W +21
Mar 23, 2024 Mohammed Usman W +31
Nov 18, 2023 Caio Machado W +26
Jul 22, 2023 Jamal Pogues W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.62 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.91 avg 2.74
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.92 avg 1.29
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
75% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.32
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1534
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.7
actual +1 vs expected