HonestElo
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Vitor Petrino

Active #13 heavyweight
Elo rating
1595 ±33
LCB 1552
Rank
#13
top 24% of division
UFC record
7-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
+3
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +42
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Mar 11, 2023 — W vs Anton Turkalj Δ+27Jul 8, 2023 — W vs Marcin Prachnio Δ+29Nov 4, 2023 — W vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ+28Mar 2, 2024 — W vs Tyson Pedro Δ+25May 4, 2024 — L vs Anthony Smith Δ-34Dec 14, 2024 — L vs Dustin Jacoby Δ-20Jul 12, 2025 — W vs Austen Lane Δ+13Oct 11, 2025 — W vs Thomas Petersen Δ+15Mar 14, 2026 — W vs Steven Asplund Δ+14 14871527156716081648 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":183.5,"elo":1527,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Anton Turkalj","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":116.3,"y":145.4,"elo":1556,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Marcin Prachnio","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":208.5,"y":109.2,"elo":1583,"date":"2023-11-04","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":300.8,"y":76.5,"elo":1608,"date":"2024-03-02","opp":"Tyson Pedro","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":349.6,"y":121.5,"elo":1574,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":523.3,"y":148.4,"elo":1553,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Dustin Jacoby","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":686.1,"y":131.9,"elo":1566,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Austen Lane","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":756.6,"y":112,"elo":1581,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Thomas Petersen","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":94,"elo":1595,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Steven Asplund","result":"W","delta":14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Steven Asplund W +14
Oct 11, 2025 Thomas Petersen W +15
Jul 12, 2025 Austen Lane W +13
Dec 14, 2024 Dustin Jacoby L -20
May 4, 2024 Anthony Smith L -34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.67 avg 3.09
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.39 avg 2.79
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.45 avg 1.24
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
46% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
81% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.68 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
57%
4 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
2
29% of wins
DEC
3
43% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 2 (29%) 2 Dec: 3 (43%) 3
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
1 25%
R3
2 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1521
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.1
actual +2 vs expected