HonestElo
← heavyweight

Vitor Petrino

Active #11 heavyweight · age 29 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 225 lb 102 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1569
Global Elo 1610 ±32
Rank
#11
top 22% of division
UFC record
8-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 4
Streak
+4
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +29
Last fight
Aug 22, 2026
Win by Decision

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Mar 11, 2023 — W vs Anton Turkalj Δ+27Jul 8, 2023 — W vs Marcin Prachnio Δ+29Nov 4, 2023 — W vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ+28Mar 2, 2024 — W vs Tyson Pedro Δ+25May 4, 2024 — L vs Anthony Smith Δ-34Dec 14, 2024 — L vs Dustin Jacoby Δ-20Jul 12, 2025 — W vs Austen Lane Δ+13Oct 11, 2025 — W vs Thomas Petersen Δ+15Mar 14, 2026 — W vs Steven Asplund Δ+14Aug 22, 2026 — W vs Serghei Spivac Δ+16 1450147515001525155015751600 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":335.1,"elo":1485,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Anton Turkalj","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":158,"y":273.3,"elo":1514,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Marcin Prachnio","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":226,"y":214.4,"elo":1542,"date":"2023-11-04","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":294,"y":161.3,"elo":1567,"date":"2024-03-02","opp":"Tyson Pedro","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":330,"y":234.6,"elo":1532,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":458,"y":278.4,"elo":1512,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Dustin Jacoby","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":578,"y":251.3,"elo":1524,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Austen Lane","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":630,"y":218.9,"elo":1540,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Thomas Petersen","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":718,"y":189.8,"elo":1553,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Steven Asplund","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":156.6,"elo":1569,"date":"2026-08-22","opp":"Serghei Spivac","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 22, 2026 Serghei Spivac W +16
Mar 14, 2026 Steven Asplund W +14
Oct 11, 2025 Thomas Petersen W +15
Jul 12, 2025 Austen Lane W +13
Dec 14, 2024 Dustin Jacoby L -20
3 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×2
  • Fight of the Night ×1
$150,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Vitor Petrino has earned 3. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
2
25% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 2 (25%) 2 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
1 25%
R3
2 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 358 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
79% Distance
  • Distance 79%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 16%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
2 of 2
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 0 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1519
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Serghei Spivac
Elo 1586 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.7
+2.3 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1473
1586
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 50m
Avg fight time
11:01
Fights per year
2.9
Since last fight
2mo
Bonuses
3
Ground control
37m
vs Compare Vitor Petrino with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top heavyweight

See full rankings →
Ciryl Gane IC
#1 · Elo 1690
Tom Aspinall C
#2 · Elo 1674
Alexander Volkov
#3 · Elo 1655
Alex Pereira
#4 · Elo 1655
Curtis Blaydes
#5 · Elo 1623
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Vitor Petrino on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.