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Carlston Harris "Mocambique"

Active #46 welterweight · age 38 · Orthodox · 6'0" 183 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 76" 193 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 75% of wins by KO or submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1499
Global Elo 1547 ±37
Rank
#46
top 61% of division
UFC record
4-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d -14 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
May 30, 2026
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 6m
Avg fight time
8:17
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
1.6
Since last fight
21d

Honest Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
May 8, 2021 — W vs Christian Aguilera Δ+33Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Impa Kasanganay Δ+32Feb 5, 2022 — L vs Shavkat Rakhmonov Δ-32Mar 11, 2023 — W vs Jared Gooden Δ+23Aug 5, 2023 — W vs Jeremiah Wells Δ+40May 18, 2024 — L vs Khaos Williams Δ-18Jan 11, 2025 — L vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Δ-18May 30, 2026 — L vs Jake Matthews Δ-14 1460148015001520154015601580 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":340.9,"elo":1486,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Christian Aguilera","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":141.8,"y":254.8,"elo":1518,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Impa Kasanganay","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":196.4,"y":339.1,"elo":1487,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Shavkat Rakhmonov","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":3,"x":351.8,"y":278.3,"elo":1509,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Jared Gooden","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":409.1,"y":172.1,"elo":1549,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Jeremiah Wells","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":5,"x":520.9,"y":220.7,"elo":1531,"date":"2024-05-18","opp":"Khaos Williams","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":613.6,"y":268.9,"elo":1513,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Santiago Ponzinibbio","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":810,"y":305.2,"elo":1499,"date":"2026-05-30","opp":"Jake Matthews","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 30, 2026 Jake Matthews L -14
Jan 11, 2025 Santiago Ponzinibbio L -18
May 18, 2024 Khaos Williams L -18
Aug 5, 2023 Jeremiah Wells W +40
Mar 11, 2023 Jared Gooden W +23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 221 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
  • Head 62%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
75%
of losses by finish
3 of 4 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1577
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jeremiah Wells
Elo 1628 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.9
+0.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 8 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1503
1613
Notable wins
Jeremiah Wells 1628

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Carlston Harris on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.