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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

1-0-0 UFC record 3-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
+1 Streak -3
27 Age 29
6'3" 191 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 72" 183 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1553 Global Elo 1481
1527 Elo rating 1432
Islam Dulatov — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Wellington Turman — Notable
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights

Islam Dulatov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 21 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
81% Head
  • Head 81%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 14%

Wellington Turman — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 312 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 8%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.12
3.23
div avg 4.04
51%
51%
div avg 50%
3.41
4.17
div avg 3.06
48%
45%
div avg 56%
0.00
1.55
div avg 2.25
21%
div avg 42%
100%
43%
div avg 72%
0.00
0.78
div avg 0.54
0
4
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Islam Dulatov
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Wellington Turman
finished 50%
3 of 6 losses
Wellington Turman
33% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Islam Dulatov
finished
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Wellington Turman has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1538 vs 1507, 0 quality wins to 0.

Islam Dulatov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1507
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Adam Fugitt
Elo 1507 at fight time
Expected wins
0.5
+0.5 above schedule
Wellington Turman blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1538
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Misha Cirkunov
Elo 1550 at fight time
Expected wins
3.9
−0.9 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights
1509
1437
Corner A recent form
Islam Dulatov
Corner B recent form
Wellington Turman
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Islam Dulatov & Wellington Turman on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.