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Jared Gooden "NiteTrain"

Active #70 welterweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 6'0" 183 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1410
Global Elo 1455 ±35
Rank
#70
top 93% of division
UFC record
2-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +12 · Δ1y +12
Last fight
Oct 12, 2024
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 22m
Avg fight time
11:46
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
1.8
Since last fight
1y 8mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Nov 21, 2020 — L vs Alan Jouban Δ-25Mar 27, 2021 — L vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov Δ-30Jul 31, 2021 — W vs Niklas Stolze Δ+36Oct 9, 2021 — L vs Randy Brown Δ-21Mar 11, 2023 — L vs Carlston Harris Δ-23Dec 2, 2023 — W vs Wellington Turman Δ+21Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Chidi Njokuani Δ-15 138014001420144014601480 2021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":211.9,"elo":1442,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Alan Jouban","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":153.8,"y":307.6,"elo":1412,"date":"2021-03-27","opp":"Abubakar Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":217.7,"y":192.1,"elo":1448,"date":"2021-07-31","opp":"Niklas Stolze","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":253.2,"y":259.9,"elo":1427,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Randy Brown","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":4,"x":515.6,"y":332.9,"elo":1404,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Carlston Harris","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":5,"x":650.4,"y":267.3,"elo":1425,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Wellington Turman","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":314.6,"elo":1410,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Chidi Njokuani","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 12, 2024 Chidi Njokuani L -15
Dec 2, 2023 Wellington Turman W +21
Mar 11, 2023 Carlston Harris L -23
Oct 9, 2021 Randy Brown L -21
Jul 31, 2021 Niklas Stolze W +36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 362 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 28%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 4%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 5 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1509
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Wellington Turman
Elo 1477 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.1
−1.1 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1546
1484

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Jared Gooden on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.