HonestElo
← welterweight

Adam Fugitt

Active #85 welterweight
Elo rating
1456 ±36
LCB 1409
Rank
#85
top 92% of division
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y -51
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jul 30, 2022 — L vs Michael Morales Δ-29Feb 4, 2023 — W vs Yusaku Kinoshita Δ+36Jun 10, 2023 — L vs Mike Malott Δ-27Jun 15, 2024 — W vs Josh Quinlan Δ+28Jul 19, 2025 — L vs Islam Dulatov Δ-34Jan 24, 2026 — L vs Ty Miller Δ-17 14161449148115141547 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":147.8,"elo":1471,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Michael Morales","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":150.4,"y":89.5,"elo":1506,"date":"2023-02-04","opp":"Yusaku Kinoshita","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":234.7,"y":133.8,"elo":1479,"date":"2023-06-10","opp":"Mike Malott","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":482.8,"y":88.9,"elo":1507,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Josh Quinlan","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":749.6,"y":143.7,"elo":1473,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Islam Dulatov","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":171.1,"elo":1456,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Ty Miller","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Ty Miller L -17
Jul 19, 2025 Islam Dulatov L -34
Jun 15, 2024 Josh Quinlan W +28
Jun 10, 2023 Mike Malott L -27
Feb 4, 2023 Yusaku Kinoshita W +36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.07 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.45 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.36 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
23% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1507
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual -1 vs expected